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The Mid Terms End…

The mid terms ended with the Georgia run off and it put an exclamation point on the voting and a few messages:
– It’s not in your interest to be an election denier without provable evidence.
– The former President may hold sway with some primary voters, but that is bad politics for a general election.
– No one lost more with the candidates he selected and the results that occurred than Donald Trump.
– If you think Donald Trump and his chosen candidates were not the issue, consider this in Georgia.
Walker was the only statewide Republican candidate who lost. The GOP swept every other office — from governor to state insurance commissioner.
– There are four congressional seats that sit between four more years of the current policies and a check.
The 2024 election has already kicked off.
Both sides need to think about the candidates they want to back if they want to win.

Meanwhile, the jury in NY found Trump Organization guilty in an off the books compensation scheme to pay some executives in car leases, apartments and cash and avoid taxes. The fine is not a large one ($1.6 million) for the corporation, but the conviction is.
Now this is before the House got hold of the taxes that the former President would never release, so buckle up for that.
Don’t forget the other cases pending against the former President and his companies.
Oh yea, the head of the January 6th panel said his committee plans to recommend charges. He did not say against whom, but you may have an idea.

Speaking of convictions, there wasn’t much coverage but did you see or hear that Michael Avenatti was sentenced to jail on another charge for 14 years? He was sentenced for embezzling millions of dollars from four of his clients and ordered to pay nearly $11 million in restitution.
Proving again that you need to be careful in picking your heroes.

Some Follow Up From Earlier Stories

Yesterday I outlined the story about the FBI and its involvement in the hiding of the Hunter Biden Laptop story and content release. Well, later in the day Elon Musk fired the company’s general counsel (Jim Baker) for his role in covering up some of the material Twitter was releasing on why it banned the story.
Now Baker was the FBI’s general counsel and had played a role there in spreading the false Steele Dossier and a long connection to FBI and Trump stories.
Musk said this about the dismissal:
“In light of concerns about Baker’s possible role in suppression of information important to the public dialogue, he was exited from Twitter today.”
Now let’s be clear, not everyone at the FBI is the problem, but there is an issue at the top levels with some that appears to need immediate cleaning.

In a second follow up, Iranian leadership last night issued statements that they have not relaxed any face covering rules for woman. They called the reports “fake and misleading news” to say they did.

Remember we mentioned the plan for the Democrats to change the primary season states? Well New Hampshire, as reported, has a law they must be the first primary in the nation. (Iowa is a caucus for that reason.) Yesterday the Governor of N.H. said this about the Democratic request to change their law:
“An absolute joke.”

A Sign Of The Times

Not sure this story has been widely distributed but it is a sign of the time we are living in:
Fans of the iconic Disney theme park ride Splash Mountain have a little over a month to take one last ride.
Why?
Disney will close Splash Mountain permanently on January 23 because the company says it promotes “racial stereotypes.”
What and how you may be asking. Me too. Here’s what they said:
The ride, which opened in 1989, is based on the 1946 Disney film “Song of the South.” The film has fallen out of favor in recent years because, critics say, it offers a racially insensitive depiction of Reconstruction in the American South just after the end of the Civil War.

And That’s The World We Live In Today.

If I Have This Right…

The Hunter Biden Laptop And The FBI

If I have this right ,and it turns out to be true, then we have some real issues that the entire nation better wake up to.
The story is that the FBI had Hunter Biden’s laptop for over a year before it became public knowledge in October 2020.
Let’s digest that for a second.
The FBI had the laptop and knew all that was on there.
We know about the illegal drugs, photo’s, hookers and other stuff. Get past that, that was Hunter’s life.
The real issue is that there are the notes and messages that clearly indicate the President knew the foreign activity his son and brother were doing and was assisting and profiting from it.
Knowledge he denied knowing in interviews and at the 2020 presidential debate.
In fact, he called it Russian interference.

Over time we have learned the FBI did not disclose anything because they didn’t want to influence an election, feeling that Jim Comey may have influenced the one in 2016.

I guess you can argue that is righteous, though I would argue the possible influence on our President should be known. After all, we did go through four years of Russian Collusion and the charge that the former President was compromised. All of which proved untrue.
Add that the FBI, in pushing the false Steele Dossier, actually abetted the false charge and I would think that is taking a side.

Anyway, back to the current situation.
The FBI had the laptop for a year, knew of its content, allowed that phony letter from former CIA experts to say it was probably Russian disinformation and said nothing.
Except they did.

Now we learn the FBI alerted social media, like Twitter, that an October misinformation surprise was coming and would likely involve Biden’s son.
Stop and think about that for a second.

Now, how did they know it would be coming out?
Well, they were conducting surveillance on Rudy Guilani and, as you know, the store technician called him to give him a copy of the laptop because he was so afraid of the content and the FBI was doing nothing.

Knowing this the FBI informed social media heads of a likely misinformation campaign about to hit.
Except, it wasn’t misinformation. The laptop was real.

That is unacceptable and if factual then heads must roll at the FBI immediately.
To me, as I study this, that is what happened.

The next time someone mentions a threat to Democracy, you can tell them that there sure is. It is right before their eyes, they just don’t see it.

Think About This And What It Means If Proven.

Quotable’s From The Weekend…

NBC reported that Georgia has set new records for early voting ahead of Tuesday. More than 1.85 million have voted early. And the contest is drawing new voters. At least 76,000 Georgians who didn’t turn out in the Nov. 8 general election have voted early.
Wait, I thought you said that the new laws were designed to inhibit voting. Ready to admit you were wrong?

Senator Ernst of Iowa reacted to the Democrats changing their primary season and eliminating her home state:  “We have seen a number of pushes in the past to change this, I’m glad that Republicans are staying the course. I feel Democrats have really given middle America the middle finger.”
Does this make Iowa a red state now?

Interesting to see these two stories in the WSJ this morning on countries seeing protests now.
Iran: 
The country’s attorney general said Iran had disbanded its so-called morality police and is considering altering the requirement that women cover their heads in public.
China: 
Local authorities across China are paring back some of their strictest Covid-19 control measures, just days after public anger spilled over into rare protests against a zero-tolerance approach.

The Supreme Court gets another hot case this week sure to bring about controversy – which some want.
The justices will consider whether a website designer’s free-speech rights entitle her to turn away customers, based upon her religious beliefs. The plaintiffs were seeking online services for same sex marriages and the defendant turned them away, despite state law protecting LGBT individuals from discrimination.
Either way it will be big news.

Now for Trump News over the weekend…and he made news!
He called for terminating the Constitution due to “massive election fraud” after the Twitter document dump about their role in limiting access to a Hunter Biden story.
For accuracy purposes, here’s the direct quote on his “Truth Social” web site:


Now I would challenge you to go find those in public office who supported this – though, as you can see, he had 54,913 likes in the first 19 hours.

While on the subject of the Twitter release it was disgraceful how the networks, CNN and MSNBC failed to cover the story. Completely disgraceful, for a story they failed to cover prior to the election and now that they acknowledge is true, they still fail.
The media is the problem as we’ve said over and over. Just report fairly and we will all win.

And We’re Off To Another Week .

This Is Interesting…

I guess Republicans have a hard time learning. Here’s a story on the Georgia runoff election next week:
Georgia voters have cast more than 1 million ballots ahead of the Senate runoff. Democrats are pushing to bank as many votes as possible while Republicans, including Walker, have taken a less aggressive approach that will leave Walker heavily dependent on runoff Election Day turnout.
Does that make any sense to anyone?
Add that Election Day is a runoff and not a true Election Day, can’t we predict who will win?

The other news out of Georgia is the coverage of the race. Newsbusters.org just released in a new analysis. “ABC, CBS and NBC evening newscasts blasted the GOP candidate with 88% negative coverage, while the Democratic incumbent enjoyed 71% positive press. More than half of the coverage (nearly 46 minutes, out of 87 minutes total) consisted of personal allegations against Walker,, vs. a mere 11 seconds spent on personal accusations against Warnock,” the study said.
One more interesting stat,
“The networks spent the lion’s share of their airtime focusing on Walker, while Warnock received a free ride. Our analysts looked at all 87 minutes of evening news coverage of the race from September 1 through November 29. About three-fourths of this coverage (64 minutes, 42 seconds) was spent discussing Walker, vs. 21 minutes, 12 seconds talking about Warnock — a three-to-one disparity,” the research said.

While we’re on elections, did you see the Democratic plan to change their primary cycle?
No more Iowa and New Hampshire at the top. Here’s the new plan:
South Carolina on Feb. 6, New Hampshire and Nevada on Feb. 13, Georgia on Feb. 20, and Michigan on Feb. 27.
Why?
It gets the south more involved, and if you remember it was S.C. that was Biden’s firewall last primary season.
It opens the primary to more minority voters and deemphasizes Iowa and it’s largely white voters to kick off the season and eliminate candidates.
It will be interesting to see the reactions from Iowa and N.H. if they lose their first in the nation status, especially Iowa who is eliminated totally

Elon Musk

We’re going to spend more time on Elon Musk in a coming blog, but isn’t it interesting how he went from left hero and icon to hated person? Why? Because he bought Twitter and wanted to make it an open forum for all sides. If you believe in and support free speech how can you be against his drive to air all sides?
Twitter took a side and influenced the last election. Was that okay because it was pro left?
In fact, the person who made the decision to ban the NY Post story on Hunter’s laptop now says it was a “wrong decision.”
Why is he and outlets like CBS coming clean now?
Answer:
Because Musk is about to release the reasons why it was buried and the Republican congress is going to hold hearings on why the story was depressed.
Folks, we have to be for Amendment One and free speech for all.

Meanwhile, Musk tweeted that he had a “good conversation” with Apple’s CEO Tim Cook, and said that “we resolved the misunderstanding about Twitter potentially being removed from the App Store. Tim was clear that Apple never considered doing so.”  
That’s good news, and I hope it is true that there was never a plan or thought to do so.
Social media must be free speech for all too.

It Can’t Be A Day Without Trump News

An appeals court halted the “special master” review of documents seized at Trump’s Mar-a-Lago estate.
The decision was unanimous (3-0) and said the former president’s objections to the search should have been dismissed on jurisdictional grounds. This is a boost to the Justice Department’s continuing criminal investigation. 
Closing arguments were made in the Trump Organization Tax Fraud Trial Focus against his company. A decision is expected next week. Watch the coverage of this.
Congress now has his taxes after the ruling they had the right. With weeks of house control left, watch for leaks and news on this.
A little bit of good news for the former President was the investigation into whether his administration was behind the tax audits of James Coney and Andrew McCabe came up empty.
The IRS’s inspector general didn’t find any evidence that they were targeted.

Two semi related news stories were on Kanye West.
First, he has been suspended again from Twitter for posting a nazi swastika on the site in a post.
Second, when questioned he said that he sees “good things about Hitler” and defended the Nazi regime in a antisemitic interview with conspiracy theorist Alex Jones.
Here’s a quote:
“You’re not Hitler, you’re not a Nazi. You don’t deserve to be called that and demonized,” Mr. Jones said to Mr. West at one point.
“Well, I see good things about Hitler, also,” the rapper replied, who then credited the Nazi dictator with inventing highways and microphones. “Every human being has value that they brought to the table, especially Hitler.”

Be careful with the friends you pick and invite to dinner.

Here’s Wishing You A Great Weekend.

Issues In The News

The Rail Strike


Today the  House is going to take up legislation to avoid a nationwide strike by railroad workers.
With less than two weeks until the strike deadlinePresident Biden called on Congress to impose a deal that was negotiated earlier this year to avert a shutdown of the country’s freight railroads.   
In his statement the President said this:
“I am calling on Congress to pass legislation immediately to adopt the Tentative Agreement between railroad workers and operators – without any modifications or delay – to avert a potentially crippling national rail shutdown.”   
That deal was recently voted down by four railroad unions representing most of the union members. The rail workers have said they are angry and frustrated that the deal lacked paid sick days or other substantial changes to an attendance policy that penalizes workers for taking time off while they are sick.
What is interesting to note is this:
In 1992, two days into a crippling railroad strike, then Senator Biden came to the Senate floor and decried the lopsided nature of federal labor laws dealing with the rail industry — laws, he argued, that essentially allowed corporations, regulators and, ultimately, Congress to run roughshod over workers. 
He said then:
“We need to restore a measure of balance to these negotiations,” before voting with just five other senators against halting the strike. 
Interesting right?
Thirty years later, as president, he is turning to those same laws to prevent another strike and impose a tentative contract agreement that his administration brokered, but multiple rail unions voted to reject. 
I guess:
It’s just easier to be “Union Joe” as a single senator among 100 than it is as president of the United States.

Same Sex Marriage Approved

Yesterday the Senate voted 61-36 to pass a law validating same sex marriage.
What is interesting about this passage is to look at the timeline and the changing nation we live in.
In 1996, just 27% of Americans supported same-sex marriage.
In fact, that year President Clinton signed the Defense of Marriage Act, which denied federal recognition to same-sex marriages. 
Now, just 26 years later, we have a law making it legal as 71% (Gallup Poll) support same-sex marriage.
In its approval yesterday, the measure repeals the Defense of Marriage Act and requires state recognition of legal same-sex marriages.
Republicans pushed for religious freedom protections and amended language that shields nonprofit religious organizations from having to provide services in support of same-sex marriages, but they were voted down.

Disney In The News

In the last week Disney fired its CEO and then introduced what it called a boundary breaking movie titled “Strange World.”
The movie was different for them in that it featured a gay teen romance as the main character, an environmental message and no princesses. Not exactly the Disney of your parents and grandparents childhood.
Well, the movie grossed $11.9 million over the three-day weekend and $18.6 million over the five-day Thanksgiving holiday.
That was far below what was expected and needed to be a Disney success. The film’s budget was a reported $180 million.
Variety has projected that it could lose as much as $100 million.

Was This The Best Person For The Job?

When Sam Brinton was recently appointed and celebrated by the Biden Energy Department as the “first gender fluid person in the federal government, there were questioned if it was the right person for the role and if the appointment was more to support the transgender community.
Well, Brinton is now facing felony charges and has been placed on leave after being accused of stealing luggage at the Minneapolis-St. Paul International Airport. 
Brinton is due in district court in Hennepin County, Minnesota, on Dec.19 on felony theft charges that carry a five-year prison term. 
According to court documents police used video surveillance to catch Brinton on Sept. 16 taking a woman’s hard-sided Vera Bradley roller suitcase from the airport’s baggage claim area while traveling to St. Paul from Washington.
Brinton made the trip without any checked baggage but showed up at one of the luggage carousels and snatched the woman’s suitcase, according to a complaint. Brinton removed the luggage tag and “left the area at a quick pace,” police said in the complaint. 
Brinton checked into the InterContinental St. Paul Riverfront hotel and left the next day with the bag, which was worth $2,325 including its contents, according to the victim.

The President Sounds Like Reagan or Clinton

I watched the President yesterday as he visited a computer chip manufacturing site in Michigan.
As I watched and listened to him talk of the booming economy I was reminded of speeches Presidents Reagan and Clinton gave as the economy boomed in their terms.
Do you think we’re in that kind of economy, because I don’t.
Yet, I think the President believes it.
He boasted of his record in creating manufacturing jobs. “We’re strengthening American manufacturing. We’ve created more jobs in the first two years of any presidency, 735,000 manufacturing jobs, and counting,” he said. Again he is counting the jobs people went back to after Covid.
The pandemic shutdowns eliminated 1.4 million jobs from February 2020 to April 2020, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. About 800,000 had been restored when Mr. Biden took office in January 2021.

The Democrats Choose Today

Today the Democratic caucus will choose their new leadership beginning January 2023.
Rep. Hakeem Jeffries (D., N.Y.) is expected to be chosen to lead congressional Democrats.
Rep. Jeffries’s election would make him the first Black man to lead a major political party and mark a generational shift. He is 52 and will replace Nancy Pelosi. His team will include Katherine Clark of Massachusetts, and Pete Aguilar of California replacing Stony Hoyer and James Clyburn.
Besides the age difference it will also be the first time there is no white male on a leadership team in congress.

Some Media Thoughts

Remember NBC reporter Miguel Almaguer who reported there was more to the Paul Pelosi attack story? He was pulled from the air and hasn’t been heard from since. Are you like me wondering why?

Little coverage but a judge allowed Devin Nunes defamation lawsuit against NBCUniversal to proceed, saying the former congressman had “plausibly alleged actual malice” over a Rachel Maddow comment.

Interesting to see in the Georgia run off Hershel Walker is campaigning with Brian Kemp, the Governor who fought back against Donald Trump, and the former President is staying away.

How come all the coverage of election deniers are one sided? Always with the 2020 election. How about 2016 and Democratic leaders who denied the election?
Examples:
Soon to be new leader Jeffries wrote this on President Trump:
“Stop Pouting, History Will Never Accept You As A Legitimate President.”
“The more we learn about 2016 the more ILLEGITIMATE it becomes,” he tweeted in 2018, two years after the election.
He added: “America deserves to know whether we have a FAKE President in the Oval Office.”
“History will never accept you as a legitimate president,” he tweeted from his personal account in 2020.
One more example:
“Is Donald Trump” A. a legitimate President… B. a Russian Asset… C. an organized crime boss… D. a useful idiot,” he tweeted in 2019. “The American people deserve to know.”
If Jeffries were a Republican running for a leadership position would all America know this?

Other leaders have been deniers too:
Jamie Raskin, the Maryland Congressman who is in line to be ranking Democrat on the House Oversight Committee. In 2021, he led the second Trump impeachment effort. In 2017, he was the second House Democrat to attempt to block Trump’s electoral votes from being counted.
He then wanted to impeach Trump only four months into his term.
How many know that? Maybe Republicans aren’t the only deniers.

Just Some issues In The News Today.

Over The Weekend…

News That Caught My Eye

Protests in China joined protests ongoing in Iran. China leader Xi, in power since 2012, never faced this and will not allow them to fester. If protests keep spreading, the Chinese Communist Party’s governing logic and words of former left hero, Mao Zedong will prevail – you must prevent a single spark from becoming a prairie fire.

Venezuela joined Saudi Arabia in promising increased oil. Now, with Saudi Arabia, the administration granted Saudi Arabian Crown Prince-turned-Prime Minister Mohammed bin Salman immunity from a lawsuit over his regime’s 2018 murder and cutting up into little pieces of journalist Jamal Khashoggi. The same man the President called a murderer and promised to bring action against. Think there was a deal here since the Saudi’s announced a cut after the face to face meeting of President Biden and bin Salman?
Now, with Venezuela, we are going to lift sanctions for this dictator to get oil revenue?
Why aren’t we unleashing American oil? We are doing 12 million barrels a day domestically, when the projection was for 15 million by now.
Again we ask what the difference to the environment is drilling elsewhere versus here. It’s the same environment, right?
As for the 9,000 leases the administration talked about yesterday, well how about asking the oil companies about them and the approval regulation process put in place.

This from The Hill:  
Democrats drastically outpaced Republicans in pre-Election Day voting in key battleground states this year, allowing the party and its candidates to run up a massive vote advantage heading into Nov. 8.
The Republicans, of course, banked on heavy Election Day turnout to overcome this.
But after the so-called red wave that Republicans had predicted ahead of the midterms failed to materialize, a growing number of influential Republican leaders and operatives say the party needs to compete with Democrats more aggressively when it comes to early and mail-in voting.
No kidding. How many elections do you need to lose to learn this?

Ronna McDaniel seems to have support to hold her job as head of the party. Why?
And look at who announced he is running against her:
The MyPillow Man himself, Mike Lindell announced that he is running to chair the Republican National Committee. 
“I am 100% running for the RNC chairman against Ronna McDaniel, I’m all in … and one of the things that one of the big donors said to me, he said, Mike, everybody wants you to be head of the RNC, some of them just don’t know it yet.” 
Count me as one who doesn’t, and doesn’t think he will ever think it’s a good idea.

Well, here’s a not so surprising statistical story out of New York:  
New York County’s top prosecutor has downgraded slightly more than half of all felony cases to misdemeanors in 2022, compared to 39% in 2019, according to new data.
Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg made criminal justice reform a key part of his 2021 campaign and directed staff to downgrade certain felonies so defendants wouldn’t face as much jail time.
A famous “day one” memo on downgrading charges resulted in a backlash from city police, and the district attorney backed off some changes.
Data analyzed shows Mr. Bragg declined to prosecute 35% more felony cases this year than in 2019.
The numbers also showed Mr. Bragg’s office wins a conviction when major felony charges are brought only 51% of the time, a decrease from 68% in 2019.

Don’t worry though, NYC voted 70% for its current Governor who promised to keep him in office and 30% for the Republican who promised to fire him on day one for not doing his job.

Hasn’t Elon Musk been fun to follow every day? He’s in the news consistently – almost Trump like.
Yesterday there was the story of Alyssa Milano selling her Tesla because he was opening Twitter. I thought we wanted free speech? Anyway, she announced she was buying a Volkswagen instead, oblivious, of course, to the fact that the company was started by Nazi’s to support Hitler.
Then Musk said “Yes” when asked on Twitter if he would support Ron DeSantis for president in 2024.
See, he’s a right wing conservative, and they knew it.
But: 
Musk also said he “voted for Biden over Trump” in 2020. Oh?
“My preference for the 2024 presidency is someone sensible and centrist.”
Then Musk announced he will release the reasons why Twitter banned the Biden Laptop story. Aren’t we all interested in that? That announcement caused havoc. Even the White House commented.
Why?

That’s the same laptop that CBS, 769 days after The New York Post ran the story, verified as real!!
The one that In 2020, Lesley Stahl (CBS) claimed ‘can’t be verified.’
Hey Leslie and CBS, you ran with a false Russian Collusion story for almost three years – how did you verify that? Please explain.

Let’s not forget Trump and his news over the weekend.
He was in the news for his dinner with Ye (Kanye West), who brought along a few friends, one who is identified as a white supremacist. Friends like Ye, Trump does not need.
Then he is facing legal challenges in four separate courts:
The Mar-a-Lago documents case:
The Justice Department will ask a federal appeals court in Atlanta to remove the special master from the case involving classified material from the estate.  
The Trump Organization Criminal Case In New York:
Prosecutors rested their case hoping to convict his company largely on the word of two top executives who cut deals before testifying that they schemed to avoid taxes on company-paid perks.
NYAG Civil Case:
A separate group of Trump lawyers will appear at a hearing as part of the NY AG’s lawsuit against Trump, his children and his company. The NYAG has already successfully installed a court-monitor to oversee parts of the company.
A Defamation Lawsuit:
Was filed by a former Elle columnist and GMA contributor E. Jean Carroll. She is also filing a claim for battery under a New York law that now allows alleged sex assault victims to sue regardless of time frame.

Then the Supreme Court announced it would not block a House committee access to Trump’s tax returns. If they are turned over, how long before they are leaked to the press? Days? Hours? Minutes?
The former President has refused to release these returns since the 2016 election.

Trump’s response to all this? His message to supporters (and request for funds):
“The journey ahead of us will not be easy. Anyone who truly seeks to take on this rigged and corrupt system will be faced with a storm of fire that only a few could withstand. We will be resisted by the combined forces of the establishment, the media … and the most dangerous domestic censorship system ever conceived,” the message advised.
“We will be attacked. We will be slandered. We will be persecuted, just as I have been from the beginning. But we will not be intimidated. We will persevere. And in the end, they will lose, and we will win. I did it before, and I will do it again. Will you vote for me a third time to be the 47th President of the United States?”

Now not all are buying the message for a lot of reasons, including loyalty. Look at this from former Rep. Lou Barletta from Pa., who Trump abandoned.
“I was one of his most loyal supporters in Congress. But loyalty was only a one-way street.”

Meanwhile, President Biden didn’t disappoint us, he didn’t do much over the weekend (outside the oil fiasco above), but he did do:
The eighth student loan pause on payments. Why? Jobs are plentiful he tells us, why are we delaying? It can’t be political can it?
The courts have consistently swatted down Biden’s attempt to unilaterally cancel or suspend student loans. The Constitution clearly states that only Congress has the authority to appropriate money. 
His actions have been deemed illegal. So he does a pause under Covid and a compliant press covers it up.

Then we hear the railroad strike he so proudly prevented (before the election) was voted down by some of the unions. You know the one where media types like Scott Pelley (CBS again) asked with love and praise how he managed to get a deal. Remember that?

It Was A Quiet Weekend They Said, But There Was News.

With Holiday Wishes…

With the holiday week upon us, we want to wish you and yours a Happy Thanksgiving and hope the nation can stop and be thankful for all we have.
It is a special and unique holiday and says something about our values when we do.
With that in mind, we will cease adding to your mail after this blog – unless events occur that drive us to reach out.

Some Thoughts As We Head Into The Week – First, Donald Trump

Does’t it seem, as you watch and read the political news, that one name continues to dominate above all else – Donald Trump?
This from the weekend:
Paul Ryan said he was never a “never Trump” person; but he is a “never again Trump” person.
He added, “because I want to win, and we lose with Trump.”
At a Las Vegas gathering of Republicans, the candidates who spoke were clear, 2024 is not 2016 and they are ready to take on the former President and see the party win in 2024.

Then there was Elon Musk reinstating the former President to Twitter.
The left’s immediate reaction was “how many are going to die” because of this?
What? What was that based upon? How many died because of the riots you supported in 2020?
For his part, the former President said he was not going back on Twitter.
He was dedicated to his own produced site, “Truth Social.”
Let’s see now, he has 4.6 million followers on Truth Social — and 83 million on Twitter.
What do you think?

Finally a Democrat on a Sunday show saying something nice about the former President?
It’s true:
Sen. Mark Warner on “Fox News Sunday” said this about TikTok:
“I think Donald Trump was right. I mean, TikTok is an enormous threat. … So if you’re a parent, and you’ve got a kid on TikTok, I would be very, very concerned. All of that data that your child is inputting and receiving is being stored somewhere in Beijing.”

It’s a Christmas miracle!

Now Politics In General

In the end, after all the noise and spending, only 26 seats in the House switched parties in the 2022 mid-terms.
8 went from Republican to Democrat.
18 went from Democrat to Republican.
A total of ten difference, which now gives the Republicans the same edge the Democrats had after 2020.

One more thing of note from the election: 96% of U.S. House races were won by the biggest spender.

President Biden turned 80 yesterday. If he runs again, he will be 82 on inauguration day. That’s five years older than Ronald Reagan was when he left office.
Do you think he’s running?

Here’s one to watch today and this week. Remember all the praise the President got before the election about avoiding a rail strike? We told you he pushed the issue back to after the election. This is the week.
The two largest railroad unions will decide whether to ratify a contract with freight railroads as early as today.
A “no vote” could force Congress to step in to try and avert a rail strike just before the holiday season.
A strike could happen as soon as Dec. 5, after the first cooling-off period ends for the 12 involved unions.

Is it The Gun Or The Individual?

You’ll hear a lot about guns after the Colorado incident this weekend. It has begun on the networks, but we know little about the shooter so far. What we do know is this about him:
A year and a half before he was arrested in the Colorado Springs nightclub shooting, Anderson Lee Aldrich allegedly threatened his mother with a homemade bomb, forcing neighbors in surrounding homes to evacuate while the bomb squad and crisis negotiators talked him into surrendering. 

Yet, despite that scare, there’s no record prosecutors ever moved forward with felony kidnapping and menacing charges against him, or that police or relatives tried to trigger Colorado’s ‘red flag’ law that would have allowed authorities to seize the weapons and ammo the man’s mother says he had with him. 
When they start telling us it was the gun again:
Let’s ask why no action is taken when someone exhibits a threat.
Ask too:
If they want to ban knives, because that was the weapon of choice in the Idaho murders and many recent NYC subway attacks.

Maybe it’s the person and the failed action to remove them from the streets to protect the public.

As We Get Ready To Consume – Consider This

We have all grown up knowing that America was the bread basket of the world. We fed the world right?
Well know this:
New USDA data reported Friday, indicates that for the first time in decades, the U.S. is now buying more food from the rest of the world than the amount of our domestic agriculture products that are sold abroad.
In 2022 the U.S. is expected to end the year with a net IMPORTER of food.

So first we went from energy independence to depending on the world, we are now importing more food than we exporting.
Comfortable with that?
Not me, but we just reelected the people who are leading us down that path.

Here’s Wishing You and Yours a Happy Thanksgiving.

Passing The Gavel and Leadership…

With her announcement yesterday Nancy Pelosi ends an era that made history.
Whether you are a supporter or detractor, you have to agree she made history.
She was the first female Speaker ever.
She is the first speaker since 1955 (Sam Rayburn) who lost the majority and survived to come back as speaker.
Her time as speaker saw many historic turns.
The Iraq War, the 2008 economic downturn, terrorism and covid. She was instrumental in the passing of the ACA and the focus on the climate. Recently she led the outrage overJanuary 6th.
Amazingly she will maintain her record of having never lost a floor vote on legislation. She only brought votes she knew she had, even with the slim majority the past few years.
She kept her members in line and voting the party line.
She also has two lost impeachment trials.
She had at least one deplorable act of tearing up a State of the Union Speech on live television as the President finished.
She is left for history to judge, but a part of history she will be.

One aside, it will be interesting to watch her in the House now as she becomes another member following her party leader. She stepped down from leadership, but not from the House.

A Few Other Thoughts

We head into the second weekend since the mid-terms and we still have five house races uncalled. It would seem to me, that in a congressional district, you could have counted and recounted ten times by now.

With the bare minimum to have a majority (218) the Congressional Republicans announced a probe of the Hunter Biden ties to the President, stating there is a clear connection, and the President may be compromised.
What I find interesting of their press briefing was that only the conservative networks reported on it yesterday.
The major networks like ABC did not cover the story.
These are the same people who carried the false Russian Collusion story for almost three years and told us that President Trump was comprised. Well. now we have some real evidence that needs investigation and nothing. Why?

The day after the mid terms (and since) we have called for the Republicans to replace their party leader (Ronna Romney McDaniel). Yesterday we heard that Rep. Lee Zeldin (the Republican Gov. candidate in NY) emailed committee members about his potential bid.
She announced she is running again, but if you can’t figure out how to do early voting you are out.

Speaking of Romneys, things are brewing in Utah. When Senator Lee asked Mitt Romney for an endorsement late in the campaign this month, Mitt refused to back his fellow Republican. This further angered Utah Republicans and yesterday former Rep. Jason Chaffetz indicated he is going to primary Mitt in 2024.
I think Mitt is in trouble in Utah.

On politics, if you think Donald Trump’s announcement wasn’t ill timed for Republicans, digest this:
Democrat Sen. Raphael Warnock is so sure that former President Trump is so toxic in Georgia that he’s running a new ad that simply repeats the ex-president’s endorsement of his challenger Herschel Walker.
I repeat, if you think Trump is the answer, you’re a Democrat.

To even out the political sides here’s the Republican bumper sticker of the week:
Biden and Federman 2024
It’s A No Brainer

This should scare you:
Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas said he has a “plan” to deal with what’s expected to be an even worse border situation once he carries out a judge’s order to no longer use pandemic powers to oust illegal immigrants.
The man who says the border is under control has a plan for the tens of thousands additional immigrants about to try and enter.
Yea, right.

On a lighter note, how about the country of Qatar announcing two days before the start of the World Cup that there will be no alcoholic beverages for the games.
Imagine, you have to watch a game for the game and not the beverages.

Have A Great Weekend.

It Took A Week And A Day…

We End With Divided Gov’t And A Return

It’s still hard to believe that it took seven plus days to count votes in congressional districts.
It took so long that the 2024 campaign actually kicked off while we were still deciding who won what.

I had a conversation with a good, well informed friend this morning on the reentrance of Donald Trump.
He said he is awaiting the “start of him humiliating everyone, and to see who fights back and survives.”
We had a good back and forth, and I ended up here:
“The former President told me I would get tired of winning.
Well, the Republicans lost the House in his mid-term year of 2018.
They lost the Presidency and Senate in his 2020 Presidential run.
They failed to capitalize on dire conditions in 2022 due to his demand for candidates who said his election was cheated.
You know what?
I am actually tired of losing.”

Let’s see what the people and party do now.

In the interim, the Democrats are front and center now. As we discussed yesterday, both McCarthy and McConnell survived in their caucuses.
What does Nancy Pelosi announce today?
The leaders of the House Democratic Caucus are all 80+ years old. The President turns 80 this weekend.
It’s time for new leadership I would think.
If they go that way the favorite in the clubhouse is Hakeem Jeffries.
Now consider this. He is from Brooklyn, NY. So is Senate Leader Chuck Schumer.
Wouldn’t that be interesting to have the congress led by two Brooklynites.
Is middle America ready for that?

Just A Little Political Talk This AM.

And We’re Off…

While we are still counting the 2022 votes, former President Trump kicked off 2024 last night.
Buckle up for two years of noise.

The first question is this, was the timing right or too soon?
In my opinion, way too soon, but the messenger is always about himself and not the greater need.
Was the message right?
Well, l it was certainly mellow toned as opposed to his past presentations.
It was low key and restrained, as it needed to be. The post election 2022 results required that. He is not in the same position he was before last Tuesday. I know the results surprised him and took some of the air out of the moment.
No elected officials were in the room. His son Donald Jr. and daughter Ivanka weren’t there either.
Some called the hour long speech “low energy.”
In fact, Jeb Bush Jr. tweeted this:
“What a low energy speech by the Donald. … #SleepyDonnie.” How funny is that?

No need for me to get into the details except to say he did not address the Jan. 6th events that hang over him, especially as his VP’s book is released and Pence lays out the failures of leadership that day.
No addressing all the charges against him and the family business.
At some point he needs to address the former for us all.

Now, he’ll never get a fair shake from the media.
Here are some examples from yesterday that may surprise you:
Did you see any coverage that a US judge dismissed a lawsuit by Trump’s former lawyer and employee, Michael Cohen, that accused Trump and AG Barr of abruptly returning him to prison in retaliation for writing a tell-all memoir?
We saw lots of coverage when it was announced, but not yesterday.

Did you see that a NY judge dropped charges from his niece in her inheritance lawsuit?
It sure got a lot of coverage when she accused him of stealing her money.

Did you see that prosecutors dropped charges against Rudy Giuliani over his work on issues related to Ukraine?
Well, they did, and you sure heard a lot about it back when they brought the charges.

Kind of ironic that post-election all these charges are dropped, isn’t it? It could make one a skeptic and reminds me of the famous statement by Raymond Donovan after all charges were laughed out of court:
“Which office do I go to to get my reputation back?” 

There’s So Much More Noise In The News

There’s lots more news to cover, but most of it is noise.
Russian missile strike? It turns out to be something else apparently.
Republicans meet and McCarthy does not have 218 votes. Just noise. When the joint vote is held he will.
Scott is challenging McConnell. Just noise, the status quo will emerge.

So let me leave a thought on the issue we started with, Donald Trump and his message.
I saw Majority Leader Schumer tell Republicans to change their message if they want to win.
I don’t think it’s the message. I think people are fine with America First, energy independence and border control.
I think it’s the messenger and not the message, and Schumer is wrong.

We’re Off And Running.


Let’s See Now…

Here we are almost a week after the election and we have 18 House seats undecided. How can that be?
We’re still counting!
All we know is the Republicans have 212 seats won and the Democrats 205.
Can you believe this? Why?
Because we turned Election Day into election weeks and election months.

We turned going out to vote to we’ll bring the election to you and even help you fill out the ballot.
Election night will never be what it used to be. It’s now election week plus.

One party was smart enough to figure how to play this game and the other failed to adjust and insists on day of.
If the Republicans don’t change leadership and learn to play by the new rules they are doomed to losing.
Sometimes in life you don’t make the rules, but you have to adjust to play by what they are.
After losing the Presidency in 2020 they learned nothing.
They proceeded to take the opportunity of 2022 and flush it away.

When 70% of the nation believes the the country is going in the wrong direction and the party who owned the Presidency, Senate and House still beats you, well you better look inside and start replacing your leaders.
It’s this simple:
You figure out how to make the rules work for you. Then you do it better than your opponent.
If you can’t, get out of the way and let someone else lead.

The other Republican problem is Donald Trump.
We haven’t been shy here condemning his actions, and he continues to add fuel to his distasteful actions.
Going this week after two Governors in his own party who have won and are bright voices is beyond disgraceful.
Why is he going after them? Because his massive ego cannot take the two of them being popular.
Only he should be in the party, as he sees it.
As we wrote for the last year, the Democrats are crazy trying to indict and disqualify him. He is their best asset.

We will repeat here what we said last Wednesday morning. Donald Trump must go away, he is an anchor in any general election.
Yesterday he said, “It’s not my fault.” Mr. President, you are cause number one at fault.

Now he’s apparently ready to announce tomorrow that he is running in 2024.
All that will do is hurt the Republicans in the Georgia runoff.
Democrats are urging him to announce, while his party is begging he not do it.
This is a repeat of Democrats funding his election denier candidates in Republican parties – knowing they would be easier to beat.
Donald Trump doesn’t care.
He didn’t care two years ago in Georgia when the run off resulted in two Democratic wins and senate control. He gave Joe Biden and the senate the chance to do all the programs and judges he has pushed thorough.

He didn’t care with the candidates he supported to win the primaries in 2022. As long as they repeated his lie that the 2020 election was stolen.
The same ones who lost the senate and governorships this year.

Every republican leader must stop bowing at the Trump altar. You’ve fed that ego long enough. It’s time for history to be the judge of his presidency.
He is not the answer to anything in the future.

In the end, inflation is up, real income is down, retirement accounts are suffering, the border is porous, crime is rampant, gas prices are up and optimism for the future is lacking. A majority believe their children will not have life as good as they did in the future. 72% said we are going in the wrong direction.
Yet, the party in control won control of the senate, increased their number of Governorships and won state legislatures. We’re not sure if they won house yet.

What does that say about the Republicans and the American people?

On to another week.

The Democrats Fight Back..

The people spoke yesterday, well actually they have spoken with early voting for months, but we counted what they said last night.
What they said was not what the pollsters and pundits were telling us. There was no red wave, no red ripple… there was a divided nation.
We write this with a senate that is likely to end up as divided evenly as it was before, pending a probable run off in Georgia again.
We write this with the thought the GOP is likely to win the House, earning the 218 seats needed, but not many more.
We write this as Democrats have picked up two Governorships.
That is a divided nation, and the issues we were told that were most pertinent proved not to be.
Yes, inflation was up there, but the border and crime seemed less important than abortion.
The latter in exit polls played a bigger part of the final vote than others.

So Now What?

We are going to have one major run off in Georgia. It will decide control of the senate.
We head into two years of divided government.
Even a three vote majority in the House opens things for the GOP to control committees and conduct investigations.
Look what the Democrats did with a 50/50 senate and the VP vote.
Buckle up for that battle.

Next, the Democrats have to attack inflation and the economy. They need that under control.
They also better be concerned about oil prices this winter and into next year. President Biden made clear we are not approving any new drilling and coal plants should begin thinking about converting to wind and solar ones.
States will now be adding their suspended gallon tax back on and the administration will turn off the strategic reserve. The price is going up in the next few months.

The Republicans have to rid themselves of Donald Trump.
He hurt the party big time, and if you are a supporter of his and don’t recognize it, then it’s time to stop and think.
He chose candidates to support based upon their supporting he won in 2020. He didn’t.
Look at his Governor choice in PA. The top of that ticket hurt the entire down ticket as he lost by so much.
Look at his choice for the senate in NH, a winnable senate seat.
Here’s how bad it was.
Trump raised funds for his PAC. He didn’t spend it. He saved it for himself.
However, the Democrats were so excited about running against Trump election deniers they spent heavily in Republican primaries to assure Trump choices won.
Think long and hard about that before you decide what you want in 2024. Democrats spent more to support Trump choices than he did. All he cared about was they fed his ego and said he won.
Let me add one more example of Trump action:
In Colorado where it was thought the Republican had a chance to win a seat. Well, he didn’t support Trump’s election claims and the former President told his supporters not to support him.
Thus, the Republican had to run against an incumbent Democrat and Trumpers. He never had a chance.

One more message to the Republicans. You need a new party head. One who understands the rules have changed and months to vote might not be your choice, but you better get in the game. Relying on one day to offset months is just ludicrous.
You either get the rules changed or you play by them and figure out how to prevail.

We’ll leave you with this as 2024 now looms ahead. The best candidate for each party to run against is either the current or former President. The only way they can ruin it is to nominate that candidate and make their opponent’s day.
That’s a sad statement, isn’t it?

Let’s Watch The Final Results.

Finally, The Midterm Election…

After All The Noise – Vote

Do you remember any midterms where the coverage was so intense, the polls so divergent, the charges that democracy was at risk and the claims of victory so sure?
Now it’s your time. Just get out and vote. Make your voice heard. The time is now.

Our prediction remains the same as it has been. Republican House 230-235 seats. Republicans win the Senate.

Some Closing Thoughts

The false claims all over the airwaves were disturbing to me.
Democracy was not at stake, a free vote proves that.
I agree with Democratic strategist Hilary Rosen who said: “I’m a loyal Democrat, but I am not happy. I just think that we did not listen to voters in this election. And I think we’re going to have a bad night.”
I think former President Obama was strong in the last week promoting Democrats and helped.
I think President Biden hurt the party.
Remember, he promised to “unite” us. Then he called those against him “idiots” yesterday.
I think his ill advised comment about closing coal plants will hurt in key states like Pa., Ohio and across most states.
I think his misstatements on economic conditions (so bad that the NYT called him on them) were disastrous.

On the other side, former President Trump continues to amaze with his self centered, me only attitude.
To drop rumors he will declare for 2024 in the week after the midterm was so ill-timed.
To dare attack Gov. DeSantis by calling him “Ron DeSanctimonious” three days before the vote just served to prove he is for Donald Trump and no one else.

One thing to watch closely is if either senate candidate can get 50% in Georgia, which like last time can vote be vote 50 or 51. In 2020 incumbent David Purdue ended up at 49% and won election night. He lost the run off and with it went senate control. So, watch the vote and that 50% in Georgia.

I’m Simply Tired Of

The Democrats, every election cycle, saying the other party is going to take away your social security and medicare. Long time readers here know we’ve long explained that investing up to $13,000 a year in a retirement fund should be producing far more than the check you will get. The problem is the money is not invested in your name and the government spent the excess over the years on other programs.
That said, no one is cutting anything. It’s just another ad of a Republican throwing Grandma off the cliff.

Here’s a review on the programs that explains it well:
Veteran journalist Brit Hume said this about these charges:
“We’ve been hearing this claim about cutting Social Security and Medicare for decades, but in recent election cycles there haven’t been any proposals from Republicans to touch those programs.
Donald Trump ruled it out and nobody is proposing it now. It’s an old saw used by Democrats when they’re in trouble.”

The glaring irony is that Social Security and Medicare are in trouble if they’re not touched. These two major entitlements — albeit earned entitlements as opposed to unearned redistribution schemes like food stamps — are headed for insolvency in the short term without a serious plan to fix them.

Despite the bill of goods sold by DC politicians about all the money you paid into these programs, that money is long gone. Current workers are paying current retirees, and the ratio of workers to retirees isn’t anywhere near as favorable as it was when Swamp dwellers started raiding that “lock box.”
“When FDR signed Social Security into law in 1935,” said Douglas Andrews, “the retirement age was 65 and the life expectancy was 63. Today’s numbers are 67 and 84, respectively.
Furthermore, while we used to have 16 workers for each retiree in 1950, we now have fewer than three.
So who’s endangering Social Security and Medicare — someone with a serious plan for reform to keep programs going for future generations, or someone who screams and yells and insists that everything will be just fine if only those rotten Republicans will keep their hands off the brakes of the cliff-bound speeding train?“

Why Is It That

Why are companies like General Motors, General Mills and Audi pulling their advertising from Twitter because Elon Musk bought it?
All Musk has promised is an open exchange of ideas. That is a far cry from what was. Just ask the New York Post or a host of others who spouted right of center ideas and were suspended.
On what grounds are these “woke” companies leaving now?

Let’s See What Tomorrow’s Vote Brings.

A Closing Argument…

A Closing Argument?

That was the President’s closing argument for his party?
The first question is do you think Democracy is at stake if Republicans win the congress, because that was it.
I have been concerned about freedom, but not because Republicans might win.
I’ve been concerned because the free press and social media have taken a side, failed to report news, issues, and suppressed information.
That impacts democracy.

Now in his closing argument the President mentioned Donald Trump, who is not on the ballot. He mentioned MAGA. He mentioned the danger of the Jan. 6th riot. He mentioned election deniers. He mentioned Paul Pelosi.
He mentioned all this as if it were just one sided, cut and dry, and the only issues.

Well, Donald Trump does have trouble with the truth, but so does Joe Biden. He mentioned the riot of Jan. 6th, what about all the riots that destroyed people’s businesses, lives and homes? They don’t matter because they are not politicians? What about deniers in his party? Do we need to review the many who denied 2016? Yes, Paul Pelosi was attacked and that is unacceptable, but crime is rampant and up all over. Do all citizens matter?
By the way Mr President, the attacker was an illegal immigrant who was living in a sanctuary city with clear mental issues. You may have forgotten that in your review.

What he didn’t mention were the issues of this midterm. Inflation, the border, energy and crime. Were they not important enough for his closing argument?
Not one time.
If you’re satisfied with his closing argument, your vote counts too, but I suggest you stop and think this through.

Maybe he didn’t mention the issues because a few hours earlier he had to take down a tweet. The tweet touted and gave the President credit for rising Social Security payments that are coming.
Then they realized the higher payment is tied to inflation, and that’s at a 40-year high. Ooops.

That was shortly after he said he talked with the man who “invented” insulin. Then it was discovered that the doctor had died before the president was born.

Then There Was The Oil Industry

Earlier this week the President attacked the oil industry saying they were the problem with gas prices and not his polices. That didn’t sit well with the energy industry.
Executives reacted to the President’s threat of higher taxes if they don’t lower the price at the pump. 

The industry’s lobbying firm, the American Petroleum Institute, described Mr. Biden’s price gouging assertions as “outrageous” and “baseless,” denouncing the president’s tax threat as “campaign rhetoric” that will only further disincentives new production needed to blunt rising prices. 

The API President and CEO Mike Sommers told reporters:
“He repeated the same debunked assertions he’s made in the past and again arrived at a policy proposal that would do the exact opposite of what would help families and businesses in this country. This has become a trend: the administration takes credit for every cent of decrease in gasoline prices, but when prices go the other way, the finger-pointing begins.” 

Chevron CEO Mike Wirth offered a similar warning about the president’s rhetoric deterring production, saying a windfall profit tax or export ban would be “short-sighted.“
He added: “Typically, if you want less of something, you tax it.”

I still wonder if anyone in this administration understands business.

A Media Study – From Newsbusters.org

The “Big Three” broadcast networks — ABC, CBS and NBC — continue to shield President Biden from caustic coverage, according to an indepth study conducted by Newsbusters.org.
The study examined evening newscasts that aired on the networks from Sept. 1 to Oct. 26, homing in on 115 stories focused solely on the midterm elections.
The stories racked up a total airtime of 213 minutes in 2018.
“While President Trump was a huge focus of network coverage four years ago (accounting for 48% of all midterm campaign airtime in 2018, more than all of the individual House, Senate and gubernatorial candidates combined), the networks aren’t interested in targeting President Biden this year.

Biden accounted for just 34 minutes of midterm coverage, just 16% of total campaign coverage,” wrote Rich Noyes, a senior editor for the conservative press watchdog. And there’s virtually no debate about the successes or failures of the Biden presidency, as one would normally expect.

TV’s 2022 campaign stories included just nine evaluative comments about President Biden.
Four years ago, these same networks aired 63 (with 86% negative) comments about President Trump.

Which raises the question, are we better off today than we were four years ago?

An example of media bias was clear to me this AM. I was watching one of the network morning news shows. The reporter bantering back and forth with the hosts did his review of the midterms and said with the House it is pretty clear the Republicans are going to win. Then he added, there is “better news” with the senate and proceeded to talk of the jump ball nature of it.
He didn’t say “better” news for anyone or anything. He just said “better” news. Of course no one at the anchor desks asked about it, because they were excited, too, about the “better” news.
They just show their bias and don’t even know.

Have A Great Weekend.
We’ll Be Back Monday With An Election Eve Review.

It’s All About The Midterms…

i voted sticker lot

The news is really simple these days. It’s all about the midterms, so we’ll be simple on an analysis six days out.

The polls all seem to agree that the House is going Republican. So let’s leave that, because we have long written that would be the case.
Which leaves the senate and the fight for control.

Now the polls are all over the place as we saw a few days ago with the NYT poll showing an edge for Democrats and other polls say the movement is all toward the Republicans.

What to believe then?
We think the last few weeks have seen an edge right with Republicans gaining. For a few days this week there was a pause and things flattened out.
Now it looks like the momentum is going right again. You can only cry “they will cut your your social security” for so many decades before people realize what they are doing.

The caution we give you is one thing that maybe the pollsters and pundits are not watching or analyzing as close as they should is the early vote.

It was the mail in vote that won the election for President Biden.
We repeat, 81 million people were not going out to vote for him as much as they mailed in a ballot against Donald Trump, who was encouraging his people to go vote in person on Election Day.

Instead of learning from that folly and realizing that up to three months to get someone to vote beats a one day turnout, the same is happening today.
Why the Republicans have not learned this is beyond our reasoning.
On any single day bad weather, an illness, a broken car, long lines, another event, or a thousand other things can impact turnout.
A vote is a vote, no matter when it is cast.

Well the early turnout is close to 25 million already. 45% Democrat and 33% Republican.
Why does the GOP want to start out so far behind?
Are the pollsters measuring this? Are they doing it right?
The answer to that question is the answer to who will control the senate.

Just fuel for thought as we close in, six days from Election Day.

Stay Tuned In.

All About The Mid Terms…

With a week to go the news is all about the midterms, and pending any extraordinary event to redirect it, will remain so.
In fact, even the issues you do hear about will be tied to the midterms and impact the vote.

That includes the unfortunate situation with Paul Pelosi.
There is a clear effort to tie the attacker to the right wing and Republican issues. Wouldn’t it be a good idea to get the facts and the whole story? Maybe he was a leftist who turned right. Maybe.
But maybe he is ill, as his family said, and should be off the streets. Would that surprise you?
One thing I know for sure.
He was here illegally and living in a sanctuary city. Let’s go from there.

I also want to watch and see the charges they bring and what happens to him. Should he face the fullest extent of the law? In my world the answer is yes. Should the subway pushers, street attackers of the elderly and ax attackers face the same consequences? The answer is yes; now do they? The answer to that is no.

Paul Pelosi’s life is valuable, so is every law abiding citizen’s. Shouldn’t justice be the same for all?
He wanted to get to Nancy Pelosi, does that change anything? Not to me. Citizens are citizens. Did we cover the individual who wanted to assassinate Supreme Court justices with the same coverage as this? Did the politicians speak up in the same manner?

It can’t matter more because it matters to you.

How close are the midterms?

Look at the reports this morning from these two major trackers of the vote:
Five Thirty Eight:
It’s a dead heat for the Senate with a 51 in 100 chance of Democrats winning control of the chamber, compared to 49 in 100 for Republicans.
Decision Desk:
As of Monday evening, their model predicts that Republicans have a 50.9 percent chance of controlling the Senate, with a mean seat projection of 51 (R) and 49 (D).

One interesting comment in Politico on something we sensed and wrote last Friday:
After weeks of stories about momentum swinging in favor of GOP Senate candidates, “a spate of new polls arrived this week bearing a clear message for Democrats: They are still in the hunt for the Senate majority.”

Now that doesn’t mean the NYT polls we shared yesterday were right. No. They are way off, and I say again the Times and Siena College should be embarrassed.

Meanwhile, Trump continues to show he cares only about Donald Trump. He finally endorsed the candidate he backed in the NH primary for the general election. What took so long?
Well, the candidate wasn’t touting that Donald had the election stolen in 2020. Really. With the senate at stake, Donald Trump is about Donald Trump.
If that’s not bad enough, check out his endorsement:
On his Truth Social platform:
“General Don Bolduc has run a great campaign … He was a strong and proud ‘Election Denier,’ a big reason that he won the Nomination, but he then disavowed. He has since come back, at least on busing, but that is only a small part of N.H. Election Fraud. Nevertheless, Don Bolduc has asked for my Endorsement, and he’s got it, Complete & Total.”

Then we have the current President who wants to make big oil the culprit and not his polices.
Yesterday he accused the oil companies of “war profiteering” and raised the possibility of a windfall tax on energy companies if they don’t boost domestic production. 
I guess he knows they are in business to make profit. Threatening them with an “excess profit” tax is a whole new game.
Does he realize these companies have made adjustments to their businesses due to lack of ability to drill and the new restrictions put in place?
What this administration fails to realize is it is their polices that have created the energy mess, not the lack of desire to drill and make profits on behalf of the companies.
But, I guess it could be a good political issue for the last week of an election.

A Week Of Noise Ahead.

It’s Halloween Monday…

Tricks And Treats In The News

Well, mostly tricks a week and day from the midterms.

With a week and a day to go we will stick with our prediction of 230-235 House seats going Republican and their winning the senate with at least 51 seats.

You can tell about the trend by where parties send their big hitters in the final 10-14 days.
If they go to states that should be locked up for them, they are in trouble.
If they go to competitive states that offer pick ups, you know they are confident.

Look at where the Democrats sent and are sending their heavyweight (Former President Obama).
He was in Georgia and Michigan this weekend. Two seats the Democrats are trying to hold.
Then he is going to Nevada for Sen. Masto and Gov. Sisolak on Wednesday.  
From there onto a Phoenix rally for Sen. Kelly and New Hampshire for Sen. Hassan.
Those are three must hold senate seats for the Democrats.
Not what the party expected for a senate calendar that held promise for the party this cycle.

In the last week the rhetoric really gets out of hand too.
In Georgia Obama told the crowd that “Georgia deserves better” than Republican Senate candidate Herschel Walker.
Fair enough.
Is it because he paid for an abortion, or his wife said he threatened her?
Does that mean that his opponent (Sen. Warnock) is more deserving because his wife said he threatened her and actually drove his car over her foot?

What’s also interesting is the recognition by the party of the popularity of President Biden.
Though not getting much coverage, look at where the President will be this week:
He will head to Florida, Pennsylvania, Maryland, New Mexico and California.
Now Pennsylvania is the state he spends more time than anywhere outside Delaware. He goes by Scranton Joe.
Maryland? The Democrat Governor is up by 30+ points. In New Mexico the Governor is up 8-10. California? Newsom is not even campaigning he is such a lock.
Either he’s not welcome where the election is close, or he wants to claim victory where he went.

What About The Issues?

Well, I heard over the weekend over and over that Republicans want to cut social security and medicare. The same thing we hear every election cycle. In between cycles we hear about the system is under funded and we need a solution.
But you can fool some of the people all the time and over and over on the same issue.

I heard Democrats want to lower healthcare costs. As soon as I see my $2,500 reduction from Obamacare, I will buy into that.

I heard Republicans say they are going to get to the bottom of all these issues. Well the last time you had the majority you said that and here we are again.

I heard that legal abortions in the nation fell 6% in the first two months after the Supreme Court overturned Roe. Now if you tell me how you feel about that, I will know how you are likely voting.
Is it good or bad that 6% more babies might be born?

Then there’s the attempt to tie the Paul Pelosi attacker to the Jan. 6th event, Donald Trump and Republicans overall.
We may want to await the facts here.
The way some of lawmakers and press members talk about the attack and “horrendous memories” it brings back about the capital attack is interesting.
Do they think the thousands who had their businesses looted, burned and attacked have anxiety every time the press reports on another police action?
Do they think the people in cities who say they are scared to walk the streets, ride the subway or go out have feelings too?
Do they remember there was a person who went to a Supreme Court Justice’s house to kill him and his family? Maybe it doesn’t matter because it was Brett Kavanaugh?
Do they remember the shooting of Republican congressmen by a Bernie Sanders supporter?
Do they remember the Republican candidate for Governor getting attacked this campaign? The shooting outside his home with his young daughters home alone?
Guess what?
They all have feelings too.

We read the election in key states is close and we see polls.
Well, if you’re rooting for the Democrats, you can feel good with the NYT and Siena College Poll out this AM.
In every key race Democrats have leaped ahead:
In Arizona: Kelly 51 – Masters 45
In Georgia: Warnock 49 – Walker 46
In Nevada it’s a tie now, 47-47 between Masto and Lexalt
In Penn. Fetterman 49 – Oz 44.
My opinion on both Siena and Quinnipac Colleges, who continue to put out polls that are most often so wrong is this:
It has to hurt their reputation as a school. Why would they not correct what they do?
Let’s see how right they and the NYT are this time.

Happy Halloween.

Let’s See Now…

Thoughts As We Head To The Weekend

It seemed to be a good week if you’re rooting for a red wave, but with ten days ago I sense there is a settling in and you are going to see some closing over the next few days.

On the midterms I was wondering this. We hear John Fetterman got $2 million in donations after the debate and his polls are holding up. My question is, if a Republican had the debate that Fetterman did, where would he be in the polls? I suspect down digits at least and hounded by the press. Why is this different?

How can the President continue to either be so misinformed or just lying and continue to avoid MSM scrutiny?
Yesterday he told an audience that the price of gasoline was “over $5 a barrel when I took office.” What?
Then he claimed he has it down now to $3.36. What again?
Watching him, you almost believe that he believes that.
It was $2.39 the day he took office (and lower than that when he won election) and $3.76 today.
Great to have the media on your side right?

How do you call it an Hispanic Caucus (40 members) if you only have one view and admit people of one party?
Rep. Mayra Flores, the first Mexican-born American Congresswoman, says she was blocked from joining the Congressional Hispanic Caucus because her views lean right.
Wait, she represents an Hispanic district. You mean you can’t be Hispanic and conservative?  

Wait now. Remember the warm embrace from 60 Minutes a month ago asking the President “how he managed” to avoid a rail strike? “How did you do it?” they asked.
Well, a second rail union voted to reject the deal.
Politico reported, that now a “strike could still happen as soon as Nov. 19.”
Makes me wonder was this another phony deal to avoid any issues before the midterms? You have to be a skeptic, but you have to wonder.

in this blog we have spared no punches on the former President and his penchant to tell stories that lack truth.
Well, one I think who tells as many, if not more, is Adam Schiff. The man who lied about evidence and put us through the Russian collusion lie. It irks me to read this:
Rep. Adam Schiff  is still considering whether to run for the House Democratic leadership. He is expected to make a decision closer to Election Day. If not the house leadership, then he is “tantalized” about running for Sen. Dianne Feinstein’s seat in 2024.
Does he deserve higher office? Not as I see it.

Speaking of the former President, he is ready to use the 2024 midterms to launch himself. Look at his plans:
He is going to hold a rally in Florida with Senator Rubio, but not with Gov. DeSantis.
This angered some people within the DeSantis team who complained that the Florida governor’s team was not informed of the rally prior to Trump announcing it.
He will be in the key states of Ohio and Pennsylvania.
He is going to Iowa to campaign. That’s only the “first in the nation” primary for 2024.
Watch his plans next weekend.
He will be out there and then claim everyone won because of him.

Take a look at this chart and tell me what you think. Do you remember when they passed the Affordable Care Act and told us that it would save each family $2,500 a year? They lied and we are paying.
Where is the MSM to point this out?

As we close in on the weekend the news comes that Elon Musk has completed the purchase of Twitter.
His first move was to fire top executives, including CEO Parag Agrawal,  CFO Ned Segal, head of legal, policy and trust Vijaya I Gadde and general counsel Sean Edgett.
What a great start.

Have A Great Weekend.

Quick Thoughts…

Wasn’t it interesting watching the Tuesday night debate analysis yesterday? You know what you saw, and watching some trying to tell you that you didn’t see it should disqualify them from your screen(s) forever.

Ashley Biden, the President’s daughter said this:
“If we don’t win the Senate and House in the midterms, it’s over, of what we’re really going to be able to do in the next two years.”
Exactly Ashley, that’s exactly the objective of many of us.

In fact, we have already seen change.
The Democrats are running ads saying they have always backed the police.
Defund them? Oh, no, that was the Republicans, they are saying.
Even Gov. Hochul is running scared now, putting out an anti crime ad after asking her opponent was he obsessed with locking up criminals.
And as I said yesterday, they now want to get the mentally ill off the streets.
Ashley’s right, things are going to change.

Listening to people whine after watching the debate that they have already voted in PA. and don’t know what to do now. Well, you have two options.
Next time how about waiting so that you are an informed voter?
Then how about working to cut early voting time to a reasonable ten days prior?
How about, you, being part of the solution and not the problem?

Here’s Why We Don’t Believe Polls

The respected Politico/Morning Consult Poll was out with this yesterday. Take a look. 80% of Democrats approve of the President’s performance?

Then this was added. Really the Democrat congressional vote is widening over Republicans two weeks out?
They better check their sample as I see it.

GDP

Watch the spin today about the positive GDP we told you was coming. It came in at 2.6% this morning.
The President and team will be touting this as he and former President Obama hit the campaign trail.
They will say it shows we were not in recession and one is not looming, though most economists are concerned one is.
After two quarters of negative growth this positive means growth for the year is zero.

Watch How The Biased Media Covers All This Today.

What’s Going On…

A Big Night Of Debates

It was an interesting night for the three debates that were held. The voters in each state will decide what direction they want the nation going. I am satisfied about one thing and upset about another.
I am satisfied that the issues came to the forefront. Forget the obvious health issue of John Fetterman, who should probably not be going through this.
Fracking, which has been cut and almost ceased is a contributor to the higher oil costs that have driven inflation. Republicans are for it, Democrats are not (despite the Fetterman change).
Voters can decide on higher prices vs more oil production in America.

In N.Y. crime was front and center.
Congressman Lee Zeldin brought it all out and challenged Governor Hochul.
It was clear Zeldin is ready to crack down and Hochul is just discovering the issue.
New Yorkers can now decide if they care enough to change Governors.

In Michigan the issue of shut downs was front and center.
The voters can now decide how they want their state run.

The shame is that these debates are so late in the process. With mail in voting well under way they should be conducted before mail in starts – or better yet, the early voting period cut to a reasonable time to allow debates prior.

America Today

This finding is so anti the American Dream that we hope people consider it before they cast their mid term vote:
Just 42% of US adults think today’s youth will have a better life than their parents — an 18-point drop since June 2019.
Don’t we all do as much as we can (except worry about the deficit) because we want and believe our children will have a better future?
We need leaders who project a vision to create that future.

Speaking of deficits – because we feel so strongly about them:
Just released data from the Treasury Department said that:
For fiscal year 2022 federal tax revenues reached an all-time high of $4.89 trillion.
As a share of GDP, revenues were at or near an all-time peak as well.
The bad news:
Thanks to the administrations spending spree the total outlays for 2022 were a world record $6.72 trillion. 
So, even with the surge in tax collections the federal government still managed to run a $1.2 trillion deficit.
That number is one of the largest In our nation’s history.

Every time you hear the President boasting that he lowered the deficit, remember those numbers.
He “lowered” the deficit because of $2 trillion of spending due in large part to the pandemic.
It is false advertising, as I see it.

Even worse was this news yesterday on top of the declining math and reading scores we reported:
Schools have spent only a small fraction of the money earmarked to combat learning loss from the pandemic despite growing evidence that students are struggling to catch up, according to the analysis.
President Biden released $120 billion through his 2021 virus-relief package to reopen classrooms and help students who fell behind academically.
Two-thirds of the money was released within two weeks of the president signing the law.
Yet only 15% of the funding known as ESSER III was spent during the 2021-2022 school year, according to an analysis from The Washington Post, Georgetown University and Edunomics, an education finance group.

I say again, we need leadership as good as our people. Let me add one more thing here.

There was a data release yesterday from the National Assessment of Educational Progress indicate that students who attended Catholic schools were largely spared from the national decline in reading and math that we reported yesterday.
Why? Two reasons I think and a bigger issue that should be addressed:
First, Catholic Schools were open for in class far more than public schools.
Second, there is a different measure of discipline, involvement and review with the private school.
The larger issue is should parents have the right to choose a school for their children with the tax dollars expended?

Yesterday we mentioned voting in Georgia and the charges of “repression.” Then these stats came out:
About 838,000 Georgians had cast their ballots through Sunday — most of them in person at advance voting sites, the rest returning mail ballots.
That’s almost 60% higher than advance voting totals at this point in 2018, the last midterm election. 
In fact, more than 10% of Georgia’s registered voters have already voted.
Does Major League Baseball want to apologize to Atlanta for their lost revenue from moving the all-star game?

Last week Speaker to be McCarthy put his foot in his mouth and gave the Democrats an issue when he said he was not wholly in favor of future aid packages to Ukraine.
A simply poor statement at the wrong time with his party gaining traction for the mid terms. How a seasoned public figure could say that, when he did, makes you wonder about his leadership ability.
Democrats were quick to label McCarthy and team – “Putin Republicans.”
The advantage did not last long.
A letter was released written by Congressional Progressive Caucus chairperson  Pramila Jayapal and co signed by 30 fellow Democrats urging the President to conduct direct diplomacy with Putin and Russia over Ukraine.
The immediate reaction was “how could you do this?” We had an issue and you destroyed it.
The thirty then announced the letter was weeks old and not for publication and they were withdrawing it.
Too late, damage done.
So one side shoots itself and the other follows suit. Not good.

Who Do They Think They Are?

I bet you are as disgusted as I am with the climate activists who have been defacing valued art and then gluing themselves to the wall.
They did this in recent weeks with a Picasso, Botticelli and Van Gogh.
They were shouting this question: “What is worth more: art or life?” As if the art was polluting the air.
From my standpoint, we should leave them glued to the wall for a good period, then take them in, book them and prosecute to the fullest extent of the law.
What gives them the right to destroy century old paintings because they have a belief. We all have beliefs, and my belief is you should pay a price.

Let’s See What Today Brings.

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