Common Sense

Wrapping Up A Week Of Noise.

The House took some action on the rising gas prices yesterday.

They approved a bill that would require a federal investigation into charges that the oil industry is price gouging.
There you go, the oil companies are bilking us. That’s why prices are up to new highs daily.
This is the first piece of legislation that Capitol Hill has approved in an effort to address high prices.
Don’t you feel better now?
What’s that you ask? Did they discuss turning our oil companies loose to produce?
No, they just want to assure they are not making too much money.

The Border Fallacy

Meanwhile, Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas visited the southern border and said the administration “was prepared” for Title 42 to be lifted and the influx of migrants moving through Mexico to try to cross into this country.
You know what it means when he says “prepared?” They are not prepared to protect our border, they are prepared to process the applications quicker.
Where’s the media coverage of this fact?

Some Bad Timing By Oklahoma

Here’s where the abortion issue goes to extremes and divides the nation.
Oklahoma passed a law that bans nearly all abortions from the moment of fertilization. The ban passing now will feed the media frenzy on the Supreme Court decision, drive pro abortion crowd protests, be used as a fund raiser and convince many that it is all or nothing with abortion.
In the elections ahead Oklahoma voters can decide if zero days or weeks is the right choice for their state, and nothing will change in states like California and New Jersey where until moment of birth abortion is allowed.
One more thing, under the bill, those who could be punished include anyone who “performs or induces” an abortion or anyone who “knowingly engages in conduct that aids or abets the performance or inducement of an abortion.”
Oklahoma threw itself into the middle of this at an inopportune time, as I see it.

That NY Map Mess Continued…

Democratic infighting in NYC, especially over the new congressional maps, continues.
The issue, as you recall, is the merging of districts and the decision of DCC Chair Sean Maloney to run in the district his home is in – which is about 25% of his old district and also home to Rep. Mondaire Jones.
Today’s no hold barred responses include:
First-term Rep. Ritchie Torres suggested that allies of Maloney were engaged in “thinly veiled racism”  when they urged Rep. Jones to run in a different district than the one he currently represents.
Maloney’s decision could force two Black lawmakers – Jones and Rep. Jamaal Bowman – to face off in a primary in NY-16. Thus, a Black Democrat would lose his seat. (The New York’s delegation is shrinking by one seat.)

Then Maloney received endorsements from Speaker Nancy Pelosi and other top Democrats reinforcing his decision and support.

Speaker in waiting, Hakeem Jeffries, has been extremely vocal about his anger over the new congressional map. He has attacked the process as “excluding people of color,” and said the reworked New York map is “part of a vicious national pattern targeting districts represented by members of the Congressional Black Caucus.”

And then AOC jumped in yesterday. adding to the drama. She became the first lawmaker to call for Maloney to step down from his post atop the DCC if he primaries Jones, saying that his decision to run in the 17th District is “terrible” and “hypocritical,” adding that it “creates a conflict of interest.” 

All this, while in the redrawn 12th district we have two long term Democrats squaring off – Jerry Nadler versus Carolyn Maloney. Both are full committee chairs with decades of service in the House.
Both Nadler and Maloney predicted they would win a primary battle. Each suggested that the other find a different district to run in. 
“I’ve known Carolyn for 50 years,” Nadler said in an interview. “But I’m going to run, and I’m going to win.”
“We’re good friends,” Maloney countered. “It’s very regretful, particularly since it’s my district.”
Both live in the newly drawn district!

House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer said:
“I think it’s awful. I just think it’s one thing to be against gerrymandering, it’s another thing to be just insensitive to the representation that you have in a state.”
And therein lies the reason.
The “gerrymandering” they did to try and wipe out Republican seats brought this about.

Meanwhile In Georgia

Here’s the latest poll on the Governor’s race:
Gov. Kemp leads with 60 percent support to only 28 percent for former Sen. Perdue, (Trump backed).
If that holds on Tuesday, Kemp would clear the 50 percent threshold and avoid a runoff election.

One more thing on the Georgia election.
Remember the law that was passed “to suppress votes” according to the left? Well, early voting is up over past elections.
Look at these numbers:
Total Turnout: 461,816 
Turnout Numbers Through Same Day in 2020: 169,385
Turnout Numbers Through Same Day in 2018: 141,673

Remember when Major League Baseball moved their All Star Game because they believed the false hype about suppression? Where do they go to apologize now?

That’s Enough For This Week. Have A Great Weekend.

Wondering…

Thinking Out Loud

Sweden formally announced that it will follow its neighbor Finland and seek NATO membership. Now, that reverses two centuries of military nonalignment. Imagine that? If Putin attacked Ukraine because he was worried they wanted to join NATO, he really miscalculated.
When Putin reacted to this he was told by Finland’s leader to look into the mirror and see the reason why.
Now there are some in the U.S. who do not like the idea of them joining NATO. Why?
It puts the U.S. on the hook to fight and defend them if Russia attacks and they wonder why we need to be in that position so far from home.
Turkey, a local power has expressed opposition to the expansion and does not want this approved.
President Biden and team have recommended to allies we move quickly to get this done.

Those Redrawn NY Congressional Maps

The new maps which are scheduled to be locked in by close of business tomorrow are really generating inner party comments and squabbles. Here’s some more yesterday from key players:
First, Rep. Maloney, the Democratic DCC chair who is in the middle of this:
He announced shortly after the new map was out on Monday that he would run in NY-17 where his home is located, even though he’s never represented the roughly 75% of the district that Jones currently represents.

Maloney’s decision caught everyone by surprise, including Rep. Jones, who was furious. Jones complained to anyone who would listen about the move. It’s especially sensitive because the DCCC chair – who sits at the leadership table – is big footing a first-term minority lawmaker.

Retiring Rep. KATHLEEN RICE (D-N.Y.): 
“You cannot have the chair of the DCCC involved in a Democratic primary with an incumbent colleague and expect that person to remain objective about their No. 1 job, which is incumbent protection.”
Rep. RITCHIE TORRES (D-N.Y.): 

“It seems like there’s a conflict. New York 17 is primarily in Congressman Jones’ district. He should be regarded as the incumbent.”

Then add this:
A newly open seat covering lower Manhattan and the Park Slope neighborhood of Brooklyn is drawing a frenzy of interest, including from former NYC Mayor  Bill DeBlasio.

The last thing the Democrats need this election cycle is a mess like this. And, after watching Bill DeBlasio be the Mayor for eight years the last thing we need is him in congress.

How About This From The NYT

Remember all the stories about covid and school lockdowns and how irresponsible some states were with kids and schools? Take a look at this:

Extended school closures appear to have done much more harm than good, and many school administrators probably could have recognized as much by the fall of 2020. In places where schools reopened that summer and fall, the spread of Covid was not noticeably worse than in places where schools remained closed.”

The New York Times also found that the primary victims were the lowest-income children. Wealthy families found education alternatives for their children either in their homes or private schools. Children from low-income families barely participated in online lessons.

“This will probably be the largest increase in educational inequity in a generation,” said Thomas Kane, an author of a Harvard study on the disparate impact of the COVID lockdowns.

The study also found that most of these school closures occurred “in major cities, which tend to be run by Democratic officials … Republicans were generally quicker to reopen schools. High-poverty schools are also more likely to have unionized teachers, and some unions lobbied for remote schooling.”

You didn’t see this covered much in the media did you?

Speaking Of The Media

Here’s a quote from Supreme Court Justice Thomas in response to media questions about him quitting his role.
 “I will absolutely leave the Court when I do my job as poorly as you do yours.” 

With That We Wish You A Good Day.


Political Tidbits And More…

Election Results

Well, I guess Pennsylvania is the new Florida when it comes to elections.
After their 2020 disaster of vote counting, we get to the 2022 mid terms and they will be counting again for days to pick a winner in the Republican Senate Primary.
We don’t know the winner, but we do know without Donald Trump’s endorsement Dr. Oz would have lost.
With only 2,000 votes dividing the candidates with over a million cast, it all depends where the outstanding votes are.
Further bad news for Republicans is that Kathy Barnette, who got 25% of the vote, said she will not back the Republican winner.

The Democrats were clear on their Senate choice. Progressive Lt. Gov. John Fetterman is their candidate.
The NY Times gushed about him this AM. The question is, in 2022 are people looking for more progressives?
I don’t think so, but we’ll see. Fetterman brings a big personality to the race.

In the Governor’s race the Trump endorsed candidate Doug Mastriano, who the NYT said is “a far-right state senator,” won the Republican nomination.
Mastriano attended and helped organize for the “Stop the Steal” rally, thus the endorsement.
He will face Josh Shapiro, the state attorney general, who won the Democratic primary.
Here’s what you need to know about this:
Mastriano’s victory immediately saw The Cook Political Report say that the general election was no longer a toss-up and Shapiro was the clear favorite to win.

We say again, a Trump endorsement in the primary is golden – not so much in the general election. You have to win in November or you accomplish nothing.
Endorsing only those who say you were robbed is not the path to victory.

In fact, here’s an interesting tidbit for you on the 50/50 senate and why every seat matters:
Vice President Kamala Harris has broken 23 ties in her official role as president of the Senate . That’s how many times she got a bill through because of a tie vote. This, in only 16 months in office.

In North Carolina, we talked the past few weeks about the trouble Madison Cawthorn had created for himself. Well, he lost the primary for his House seat.
He arrived two years ago with such promise and went out quickly. All self inflicted wounds, too.

Two other races of note
Representative Ted Budd won the NC Republican Senate Primary. Like Pennsylvania, this is a Republican held seat of a retiring senator. He will face the Democrat Cheri Beasley. Budd will be favored.

Brad Little, Idaho’s Republican governor, won his primary over Janice McGeachin. She was lieutenant governor and a Trump favorite.

On to the Georgia primaries now.

Fallout In New York

Some major fallout in New York after the court called the Democratic redrawn congressional lines illegal and provided new ones.
Here are examples:
We told you that Representatives Maloney and Nadler were in the same district now. Maloney reacted:
“I’ve never lost an election; I don’t intend to start now,” she said. Nadler is running.
If they end up running against each other, some will miss one of them. Not this writer, though.

Sean Patrick Maloney is the head of the DCC. His district is now combined with another fellow Democrat, Rep. Mondaire Jones.
Maloney immediately announced he was running in the new district. Jones reacted:
“He did not even give me a heads up before he went on Twitter to make that announcement. And I think that tells you everything you need to know about Sean Patrick Maloney.” Ouch!

And look at this quote from House Democratic Caucus Chair (and rumored next speaker)Hakeem Jeffries: 
“The draft map released by a Judicial Overseer in Steuben County and unelected, out-of-town Special Master, both of whom happen to be white men, is part of a vicious national pattern targeting districts represented by members of the Congressional Black Caucus.”

Lots of fallout on day one with more to come.
Now we’ll wait to see what happens in Florida which also had their redrawn lines cancelled.

Still five and a half months to go for the mid terms.

Just More Of The Same…

Who’s In Charge Of Tweeting?

Yesterday we shared some White House tweets that had to be pulled or were blasted by people like Jeff Bezos.
Well, here’s another example as Abbott Labs tweeted reaction to White House comments on their infant formula business:
At the White House press conference, the Press Secretary mistakenly said that our formulas were tainted and killed two infants. The deaths of these infants are a tragedy.
The facts, however, are critical:
A comprehensive investigation by Abbott, FDA and CDC found no evidence that our formulas caused infant illnesses.
CDC concluded its investigation with no findings of a link between our formulas and infant illnesses. We conduct microbiological testing on products prior to distribution and no Abbott formula distributed to consumers tested positive for Cronobacter or Salmonella.
All retained product tested by Abbott and the FDA during the inspection of the facility came back negative for Cronobacter and/or Salmonella. No Salmonella was found at the Sturgis facility.

Abbott labs basically called out the administration and laid the blame for infant formula crisis at their doorstep.

The MSM Keeps Saying Abortion Will be Illegal

The Democrats and MSM keep saying that abortion will be illegal after the Supreme Court decision. As you know that is not true. The states will decide. Axios produced this state by state graph for their laws currently:

Here’s a statistic that people should know from the CDC.
About 93% of reported abortions in 2019 were performed at or before 13 weeks of pregnancy.
6% were conducted between 14 and 20 weeks.
Only 1% were performed at or after 21 weeks.

What is really going to change? Remember the Mississippi law was 15 weeks.
Aren’t the great majority, as we’ve written, for legal abortion up to a date?
Why can’t people know the facts and our leaders provide a solution? We don’t have leaders today, we have politicians.

One More Chart

Here’s a list of the 19 senators who voted NOT to confirm Jay Powell for a second term. You will see 15 Republicans who voted “no” because they thought he led us to a near recession. There are four Democrats who voted “no” because they thought he spent too little!

HERE’S AN UPDATE ON ELECTION MAPS

The (preliminary) redrawn New York congressional maps released Monday would substantially reduce the number of safe Democratic seats drawn by the state legislature. The final maps are due on Friday, pending public feedback, but the expectation is that the map won’t change significantly.
The map increases the number of competitive districts initially drawn up by the Democrat-controlled state legislature from three to eight. A long way from the one that was drawn to take 4 Republican seats away.
One major district with potential drama is the 12th district in NYC. This could be a doozy.
It is now drawn to include the Upper East Side and Upper West Side of Manhattan. That would place Reps. Jerrold Nadler and Carolyn Maloney, both senior Democrats who chair the Judiciary and Oversight committees respectively, against each other.
Let’s see what happens by week’s end.

Elections Today

Pennsylvania is the big one today. A Democrat Governor and Republican Senate are up. Both are big.
In a 50/50 senate who wins the primary is key, because the question is, can they win in November?
Want a prediction?
I see in the Republican primary that Mehmet Oz wins because he was endorsed by Donald Trump. A key in the Republican primary.
On the Democratic side Lt. Gov. John Fetterman wins despite the stroke he suffered last weekend. He is the most left candidate.
In the contested Republican primary for Governor I see State Sen. Doug Mastriano winning.
If this turns out to be true, it sets up an interesting November, where things could stay the same as today.

In North Carolina the question is can Rep. Madison Cawthorn hold on against eight challengers? That large number helps him as does Donald Trump’s endorsement, reinforced yesterday. Interesting watch tonight.

Have A Great Day.

Some Takes…

Let’s Start With White House Tweets

Let’s start with this tweet that the White House had to take down after widespread condemnation.
“When President Biden took office, millions were unemployed and there was no vaccine available. In the last 15 months, the economy has created 8.3M jobs and the unemployment rate stands at 3.6% — the fastest decline in unemployment to start a President’s term ever recorded.”
No vaccine? The President himself had two public shots before he raised his right hand.
If, in your business or organization, you have people this incompetent – you will fail. Make changes.

Then over the weekend the President’s tweets got attacked by Jeff Bezos. The same Bezos who runs the left wing Washington Post and was a supporter. Why? Well, try the “pay your fair share” comments and the creation of a “misinformation” office by the administration. Here’s the tweets:
Biden’t tweet:
“You want to bring down inflation? Let’s make sure the wealthiest corporations pay their fair share.”
Bezos response:
“The newly created Disinformation Board should review this tweet, or maybe they need to form a new Non Sequitur Board instead. Raising corp taxes is fine to discuss. Taming inflation is critical to discuss. Mushing them together is just misdirection.”   
Biden Tweet 2:
“Under my predecessor, the deficit increased every single year. This year, we’re on track to cut the deficit by $1.5 trillion — the biggest one-year decline ever. It matters to families, because reducing the deficit is one of the main ways we can ease inflationary pressures.”
Bezos response:
“In fact, the administration tried hard to inject even more stimulus into an already over-heated, inflationary economy and only [Sen. JOE] MANCHIN saved them from themselves. Inflation is a regressive tax that most hurts the least affluent. Misdirection doesn’t help the country.”

If your friends begin to attack you publicly — watch out.

Finally, A 2016 Election Trial

Special counsel John Durham’s first trial from the handling of the Trump-Russia collusion accusations begins today. His prosecutors are saying Donald Sussmann, a Clinton team lawyer, lied to the FBI in 2016 about acting on behalf of the Clinton campaign when he handed over now-debunked information linking Trump to Russia’s Alfa Bank.
You see, Sussmann billed the Clinton campaign for the meeting with the FBI, and told them he was coming as a private citizen.
Interestingly, a number of former FBI officials are scheduled to take the stand. Their questioning could center on the FBI’s role and eagerness to seize on unverified anti-Trump political dirt.
Not sure what kind of coverage the MSM will give this, but it could be a most interesting trial.

Elections

A big primary day tomorrow. Start with Pennsylvania, an intriguing state to watch with Governor and Senator races.
The leading Democrat candidate for Senator (a potential Democratic pickup), Lt. Gov. John Fetterman, suffered a stroke this weekend. He was leading by a wide margin going in. It’s expected he will still prevail, but interesting to watch. His opponents have called him the Bernie Sanders of Pa.
On the Republican side, the nomination has turned into a four way- race. Three candidates are bunched in the 20% area along with “undecided.” Donald Trump is all in here backing Dr. Mehmet Oz.
Speaking of which, the former President jumped into the Governor’s race here, too. He backed the leading candidate, who happens to be the most right one. He’s also one that experts say cannot win in November.

Then there’s North Carolina where Rep. Madison Cawthorn has lost support from grass-roots groups in his district and many prominent Republican lawmakers. All the negatives with his actions and campaign have put his future in doubt. He may lose his primary.

The Horror Of Shootings

The horror of the shooting in Buffalo, followed by the church shooting in Orange County, California yesterday are news stories we are all tired of and want stopped. The question is how. To understand that we need to answer why. Why do they do it?
In Buffalo we have already learned of his hatred, and one more thing jumped out to me. It was the report that the suspect had threatened to target his high school last spring. Authorizes were alerted and he was sent for a mental health evaluation that put him in a hospital for a stay.
Well, what happened after that? Was there any follow up? Where was his family, friends? What happened since then?
We’ll hear guns again, but let’s remember, NY has some of the most stringent gun laws in the country. I want the whole story. He gave notice, who failed us?

On Gas Prices

There are some who are steadfast that the administration wants higher oil prices to support their push for electric cars. In fact, the EPA has expressly said it assumes electric vehicles will comprise 17 percent of all vehicle sales in model year 2026.  Is that possible? I guess if a gallon costs $5, it is.
Now look at this chart on the price of lithium for the batteries – which is skyrocketing.

Does anybody in Washington know what they are doing these days?

Interesting Week Ahead. Stay Tuned.

Just Wondering This Friday…

How can anyone miss the chance, never mind fact, that a baby formula shortage could occur based upon closing a plant? Baby formula? Didn’t someone think ahead and raise the issue? How is this possible?
You can make a lot of mistakes and get away with it, but not when it comes to babies.
Once the baby is born everyone is on board caring. The day before, as we saw in the senate vote, half are fine with getting rid of it – but the day after – no. The administration better be careful here.

With the President talking and blaming MAGA for his problems I keep wondering why. Does he think that is going to work? I say again, the American people voted against the former President, not his polices. I am guessing too, that most Americans associate MAGA with America First. Most of us are for that.
Who came up with this attack strategy?

So, the protesters were outside Justice Amy Barrett’s home, which is unacceptable. When one was interviewed, in her red cloak, she said on national television: “It’s also possible that the fact that she’s an adoptive mother and that is influencing her inability to see what it’s like to carry a pregnancy to term.”
Well, Justice Barrett does have two adopted children, but she also has five by natural birth.
When informed the protester was stunned. Not a good look for a protest leader and makes you wonder.

In the primaries this week Donald Trump won one big in W.Va. and lost one in the Nebraska Governor primary. Coming closer is Georgia, where all eyes will be. Well, former President George W. Bush held a fund raiser last week for Gov. Kemp. That is the opposite side of Trump who went with Senator Purdue because Kemp did not find cheating in 2020.
Now comes word that former VP Pence will be campaigning with the Governor in Georgia.
Kemp is now pulling well ahead and that whole Georgia situation for Republicans is a sad one.

Saw this analysis on the inflation rate:
So much for turning the corner on inflation.  Not only did April PPI come in much hotter than expected at 11.0%, but February and March were revised upward with March now at 11.5%, the new record high for the index. Here’s some perspective on what those numbers mean: 
At 11.5%, prices double in about 6 years. Even at April’s rate of 11.0%, prices double in six and a half years.
Remember when the Fed and Administration told you it was “transitory?”

I hear that Fed Chairman Powell, now approved for another term, will say in an interview tonight he cannot guarantee or predict a soft landing for the economy. Oh really? He also says, in retrospect, he should have acted sooner on rates. Oh, you mean like many were saying and yelling you should?
He was just reappointed and approved, so he is safe. Now, the administration will pay in November.

Speaking of the President he again yesterday was shouting that he reduced the deficit and was doing a great job. Even some of his friends in the media have called this out. No matter how many times he repeats it, guess what? It’s still a misrepresentation. Funny though, I really think he believes it.

As more states pass legal marijuana it has created a problem for police. They have no roadside test to check DUI for the drug as they do alcohol. In states where the laws have been eased, police are reporting a frustration with their inability to deal with this.
Efforts to create a roadside breath test for marijuana are underway but don’t you think with all the concern and innocent deaths with DUI that this was something real leaders should have thought of first?

Wishing You A Safe And Happy Weekend.

A Few Short Takes…

In The News

It was the one thing that Vladimir Putin did not want.
In fact, it likely was the major reason that triggered his decision to invade Ukraine.  What was it?
The expansion of NATO. He knew Ukraine wanted in and he didn’t want NATO on his border.
Well, today Finland’s leaders announced they support an immediate application for NATO membership. Finland borders Russia and they saw what happened in Ukraine and now want to be part of NATO.
This is an historic decision that will transform the landscape of European security forever
Add this:
Sweden intends to make the same announcement in the days ahead. That means NATO’s borders with Russia will be doubled. Exactly the opposite of what Putin desired. Talk about miscalculation.
Here’s an interesting quote:
When asked if Putin would view the announcement as provocative, Finland’s President Sauli Niinistö said: “My response would be that you caused this. Look at the mirror.”

I don’t understand Chuck Schumer’s strategy with that abortion up or down vote yesterday.
I guess he plans to use it as a rallying cry with supporters. But, is nine months of choice the right hill to fight on?
The fact he lost the vote 49-51 in a spilt senate makes it worse to me.
The question is how effective Republicans can set a timetable that most Americans are comfortable with and can use the full term vote against their opponents in some states.
The court’s decision on whether to turn laws governing pregnancy terminations over to the states is expected this summer, well ahead of the fall elections.  

Remember when we told you the New York redrawn congressional map has been rejected because it was designed to eliminate Republican seats? Well, yesterday the Florida redesign was rejected by the courts because it favored Republicans. The mid terms are only six months away.

Donald Trump and team are out of D.C.
The sale of the Trump hotel to a group of investors who will turn it into a Waldorf Astoria wrapped up yesterday.

When I heard the President say he was with Zelensky all the way, what does this quote keep coming to mind?
“The fight is here. I need ammunition, not a ride.” 

Yesterday we mentioned how the fact checkers had gone away with Biden as President. I saw this today:
For years “fact checking” outlets like PolitiFactSnopes, and the Washington Post have leaned to the left when it comes to ruling on how “accurate” a statement is. PolitiFact has checked Trump almost SIX times as often as they scrutinize Biden.
One recent example of the bias: 
Politifact awarded Biden a “Mostly True” stamp for claiming “the current spike in gas prices is largely the fault of Vladimir Putin.” Washington Post fact-checker Glenn Kessler called the claim “defensible,” so it didn’t warrant any “Pinnochios” from him.
Wait, 80% of the spike in inflation happened BEFORE the Ukraine invasion.

Some Things You Can’t Make Up.

In What World?

You Can Fool Some Of The People All The Time

You are one of them if you watched the President yesterday and walked away believing what he is said and that he is trying to bring the country together.
Let’s take issue one today – Inflation.
Not his fault, he said.
In fact, he claimed his policies have helped ease the problem! Now I would ask you, go find an economist, outside the administration, who thinks more spending is the answer to inflation.
He blamed the pandemic.
Well, we had a pandemic for over a year before he became President. What was inflation the day he took office? Answer: 1.4%.
He blamed Putin and his war in the Ukraine.
Well inflation was long out of control before the March 2022 war. Who is going to believe that?
Oh yea, there are some you can fool all the time.

Let’s look at some of the President’s previous comments on inflation and you tell me if he understands the issue:
July 2021: “We’ve seen some price increases. Economists call all of these things transitory effects.”
December 2021: “I think it’s the peak of the crisis. It’s a real bump in the road.”
February 2022: “Forecasters continue to project inflation easing substantially by the end of 2022.”
Yesterday: “It’s a real tough problem. Some say inflation is going to increase next year (2023).”

What you see is it’s everybody’s fault but his. The opposite of a true leader. A leader leads from the front.

Then There’s MAGA

Twice now in the last week the President has gone after what he calls the MAGA movement.
First he called them the most dangerous threat ever in our nations history. Wrong.
Then he called out MAGA again yesterday.
This time it was the “Ultima MAGA” and how he was fighting that movement and how dangerous it is. They want to raise your taxes. If you’re poor or middle class you will pay, he said.
Well, here’s what I think, realizing of course this is just another messaging test to try and save November’s elections.
The American people voted out Donald Trump, not for his polices, but for his personality and actions.
The American people, to a great extent, support the “Put America First” concept of MAGA.
Telling us that MAGA is wrong is not the same as attacking the former President.
We like the policies and America First.

Then he took a plan of Senator Scott (of Florida not Wisconsin as the President said) and said it was the Republican plan. That’s an outright lie. Senator Scott did draw up a plan that he took to the Republican Leadership but they rejected it 100%.
If the President is going to call that the Republican plan, I have a challenge. Tell us one — one senator or congressperson who endorsed the plan. Just one outside Scott.
No one did.
Taking that plan and saying it is the Republican Plan is like taking what Bernie Sanders or AOC said and claiming it is the Democratic Plan.
In fact, you would be closer saying that than Republicans want to raise taxes.

One final thought on this MAGA and more taxes.
How come you knock every chance the “Trump Tax Cut” and keep saying you want it repealed? If MAGA is for higher taxes, why did they cut taxes and why do you want to raise them?

Mr. President, don’t let them choose between America First and America Last. You will lose.

The Other Lie – You Are Cutting The Deficit

This misrepresentation is so bad that a CNN fact-checking reporter described the claim as a “reversal of reality” from “bizarro world.” CNN!!!
Now the truth squads from newspapers like the Washington Post were cancelled from their daily checks with your election, but they are calling you on this.
CNN said exactly what we wrote, “the reason Biden can claim he has reduced the deficit at all is because of temporary pandemic-related spending.”
When you spend $4 trillion extra on a pandemic it is easy to say you cut spending the next year. What a farce.
But then again, you can fool some of the people all the time.

Finally The Abortion Issue

Today’s the vote in the senate that Majority Leader Schumer set up to see on which side of the issue senators are. The Democrats and the media continue to present it as “you are either for or against abortion.”
As a reminder, the vote today is for no restriction to day of birth and partial birth abortion.
Many no votes will be because of that.
Why can’t the media tell the truth and why can’t we have a vote on something that would pass like the 15-20 week limit?
Why find solutions when you can create problems.

All In A Day.


Spending And Debt…

It’s Not Free.

Today I want to address an issue that we have mentioned many times but one so few seem to understand – debt.
As a nation we continue spending beyond our means, as if there is no bill, no consequences and no day of reckoning.

To counter that, let me share some information that for some reason our leaders and others don’t pay attention to.
Some of you may recall when we were borrowing and spending the past few years the word was it costs us nothing because interest rates are near zero.
What the media or others didn’t ask was what happens when the rates rise?

Well, the time is here. Let’s start with this.
The total national debt was over $28 trillion in 2021. Congress raised the debt limit to $28.4 trillion on Aug. 1, 2021 to accommodate more spending, then it raised it again by another $2.5 trillion on Dec. 16, 2021.
It is going to go up again soon.

It’s free money right? Well, the interest alone on the public debt for fiscal year 2021 is estimated to be $413 billion, according to the Congressional Budget Office.
That is $413 billion dollars of your taxes to pay the interest on the debt.

Now President Biden released this chart on what he expects the debt and interest to be in his budget.
Take note of the interest rate on the 10 year treasury and per cent of budget interest will be.

Fiscal YearInterest on the Debt (in billions)Interest Rate on 10-Year TreasuryPublic Debt (in billions)Percent of Budget
2022$3051.4%$26,2655.0%
2023$3201.7%$27,6835.3%
2024$3682.1%$29,0625.9%
2025$4452.4%$30,5396.8%
2026$5242.6%$31,5987.8%
2027$6032.7%$33,2668.7%
2028$6742.8%$34,6919.2%
2029$7442.8%$35,99610.0%
2030$8292.8%$37,48110.6%
2031$9142.8%$39,05911.1%

Now, I will tell you the interest rate on 10 year treasury notes yesterday was over 3% (not the 1.4% their budget estimated) and the Fed has just begun raising rates. At 2.8% in 2031 the administration estimated that interest would be 11% of the budget.

What this means is this.
As we continue borrowing and there is no plan to balance any budget, the amount of every dollar you pay to support programs will be cut by the interest payment.
The estimate above of 11% is so far off that 20% is not out of the realm. That’s .20 cents of every tax dollar doing nothing but paying interest on what was borrowed earlier! You know all that free money.
You see the problem.
Our taxes, the costs to our kids and grandkids is just going to get to the point that it cannot be managed.

We need leaders to not only understand this, but explain it to the American people. It’s easy to buy votes with free college, but people need to understand the whole picture. They will make the right decision.

Here’a a link to a deeper dive story if you want to read it.
https://www.thebalance.com/interest-on-the-national-debt-4119024

Have A Great Day.

It’s All Politics Now…

We Don’t Have Leaders, We Have Provocateurs

We don’t have statesmen anymore, leaders looking for solutions. We have provocateurs who add fuel to issues that divide us, because they want political advantage. It is our leaders who are failing us.

The leaked, not even final decision, on Roe v Wade is the perfect example.
Are our leaders trying to lower the temperature of the issue? Are they looking for a solution? Are they encouraging people not to visit private homes and protest in anger there?
Of course not.
Instead they are looking to inflame, and for what reason? Political advantage.
Is that why we elect leaders? Is that what we expect and want? The funny thing is the average person doesn’t even realize they are being manipulated. And the media, of course, inflames for its side.

Example one is the vote that Senate Leader Schumer is planning for Wednesday. It will be an up or down vote on abortion so “we can see where everyone stands,” is his cry. A compliant media is running with this and will report it as such.
Now if readers of this blog are like the nation as a whole, at least half of you will say, yes, vote for the bill. After all, a majority favor abortion.
Okay now, what if I explained the rest of the bill?
It allows abortion up to actual birth, so the full nine months. It allows partial birth abortion, even moments before birth. No limits ever.
Again, if our readers are like the nation as a whole, some of you said “wait.”

On the other side, some of you will say vote no on the bill. Vote no on abortion, it should not be — ever.

The problem here is Senator Schumer is forcing a vote up or down on a bill that goes to one extreme, abortions and partial birth abortion at anytime or no abortion ever.

This is not leadership. This is not a statesman looking to unite the nation. This is not a problem solver. This is not what this nation needs.

If we moved off the extreme ends (abortion anytime or never) we could get a majority if we said nine months and never are not where the great majority of Americans are.
If we said in the first 15 – 20 weeks an abortion is legal and after that to save the life of the Mother, the great majority of Americans would be on board.
Would it make everyone happy? Of course not.
We will never satisfy the extremes, and they can certainly both continue working to convince a greater majority to their side. But, we would solve an issue now, lower the temperature and bring peace to a majority.
Statesmen find solutions and earn the platitude of the people. They lead from there to bring about change for the greater good. Today in leadership we don’t have statesmen, we have politicians.

Vote in November to bring change, our children need you.

One last example on this issue that caught my attention too. The elected DA in Michigan said yesterday that she will refuse to enforce any state bans if Roe is overturned.
The elected DA, who is supposed to enforce the law, says she will do what she wants and not what the law says.
These people think they are bigger than the law, and following laws are for you and me, not them.
Michigan, if you don’t change DA’s, you are part of the problem.

There Are Many Other Issues Today, But Let’s Leave It There For Now.

Heading To The Weekend…

It’s Been Quite A Week

The first ever leak from the Supreme Court threw the nation into a tizzy. It’s still incredible that someone in a position of honor would so dishonor 250 years of tradition.
It’s also incredible that one party finds nothing wrong with this break. Adam Schiff actually said he didn’t care who did it. Can you believe that?
Another clear issue to help decide on which side you are on for the upcoming mid terms.

The end result is the court is now fenced in to protect the judges and staff. The justices cannot keep speech and visit commitments, their home addresses were released and their families are now being guarded.
How dare someone think they are bigger than the nation.
If this person is a hero to you I can tell you that we are on different sides.

The left and media are continuing to say this will outlaw abortion — which remains a lie.
Where’s the new disinformation czar on this? I can tell you, she is for the home protests and fine with the leak.
Each state will decide on a timeframe. It’s that simple.
To change the law in a state, simply vote in people who support your side.
It’s called the American way.

The decision, which we do not have yet, was over Mississippi wanting to limit abortions to the first 15 weeks (first trimester).
The decision just says, okay you can do that because there is no federal law, you can have a state one.
That’s all.
What I found interesting was a poll released yesterday that said that is exactly where most Americans are. Here’s the question and result:
“Thinking about the 2022 election for Congressplease tell me which of the following candidates you would be more likely to vote for.
A Republican candidate who supports banning abortions after 15 weeks with exceptions for the life and physical health of the mother or severe fatal abnormality of the baby.
A Democrat candidate who supports unlimited abortion up until the moment of birth.” 
Polling
results:
Fifty-three percent said the GOP candidate — including 54% of Independents — while only 28% said the Democrat.
Note: At the bottom of this blog I added more results from the poll if you are interested.

So the battle ahead is this:
Who defines what the issue is.
Do the Democrats define it as abortion going away and Republicans are nazi like and out of touch.
Or:
Republicans talking limits of first trimester and saying termination or partial birth abortion at nine months is wrong.
Right now, because of louder voices and MSM support, the Democrats are winning.

The definition of the issue and who defines it best could well determine the mid terms.

The Democrats needed this issue.
The polls were beginning to show a House blowout and that Republicans would likely win the senate.
In fact, polls showed President Biden under water in 40 states. It was not good.
A link to this fascinating state by state poll is also below if you want to see a really deep look.

Thus, we get an unprecedented Supreme Court leak on a hot issue that favors Dems and we will see the gap narrow.
Add the culmination and hearings coming in the fall over January 6th and maybe, just maybe they can salvage something.
Stay tuned.

The President said this yesterday:
This MAGA crowd is really the most extreme political organization that’s existed in American history, in recent American history.” 
I don’t think so, Mr. President.
Close to half the nation wants an America First program and focus. Most of them did not want the Capital attack we witnessed. To lump them all in as one is simply wrong again and dangerous.
If you say the Jan. 6th group broke the law, I agree. But then again you supported an awful lot who broke the law last summer.
Let’s be fair here.

I’ll close the week with the news that man who attacked comedian Dave Chappelle on stage this week, will not face felony charges. He charged the stage to attack the performer. He had a fake gun that had a real knife on it, but the DA does not consider that a felony. The attacker gets a $30,000 bail.
You get what you vote for. Think about that as we approach the mid terms.

Happy Mother’s Day To All The Moms Reading This.
Here’s Hoping Your Weekend Is Special.

Additional POLL QUESTIONS AND RESULTS:

  • “Unelected federal judges should not make laws. States should be able to establish their own laws regarding abortion, as they do on everything else.” Polling: Fifty-four percent strongly or somewhat agree, while 32% strongly or somewhat disagree.
  • “Whether you are pro-life or pro-choice, we can all agree that taxpayer money should not be used to pay for abortions.” Polling: Sixty-five percent strongly or somewhat agree, including 66% of independent voters.
  • “It’s acceptable for states to limit late-term abortions if the state makes it affordable to put babies up for adoption and financially assists the birth mother.” Polling: Fifty-nine percent strongly or somewhat agreed, while 26% disagreed.
  • “If you knew the following were true, would it make you more or less likely to support current abortion laws: Current abortion policy in the United States allows for abortions to be performed for any reason, up until the very moment of birth.” Polling: Fourteen percent said “much more” or “somewhat more” likely, while 57% said “much less” or “somewhat less” likely.
  • Thinking about the 2022 election for Congress, please tell me which of the following candidates you would be more likely to vote for. A Republican candidate who supports banning abortions after 15 weeks with exceptions for the life and physical health of the mother or severe fatal abnormality of the baby. A Democrat candidate who supports unlimited abortion up until the moment of birth.” Polling: Fifty-three percent said the GOP candidate — including 54% of Independents — while only 28% said the Democrat.

Biden’s Net Approval Rating Is Underwater in 40 States

The president has made up no ground in states that’ll be key to Democrats’ chances in 2022 and 2024

More than half of Democratic voters “strongly” approve of Biden’s performance in just one state — Wyoming — compared to 47 states in the first quarter of 2021.

Perceptions of President Joe Biden’s job performance worsened across most of the country in the first quarter of this year, deepening the challenges for his party in key states ahead of this year’s midterm elections that largely overlap with the 2024 presidential map.

According to Morning Consult Political Intelligence quarterly tracking in all 50 states, more voters now disapprove than approve of Biden’s job performance in 40 states, following double-digit declines in his net approval rating — the share of voters who approve minus the share who disapprove — since he took office in January 2021.

Biden’s net approval rating has dropped by more than 20 points over the past year in all of the states hosting hotly contested Senate races or competitive House races this fall that are also set to feature prominently in 2024.

Even in Colorado, which Biden won by nearly 14 points in 2020, more voters disapprove of him than approve, 49% to 47%. It’s similar to his standing in Virginia, where his downturn among self-identified suburbanites helped hand Republican Glenn Youngkin the governorship.

Here’s a link to the full poll. It is a fascinating state by state view.

https://morningconsult.com/2022/04/26/biden-approval-rating-underwater/

Let’s Try And Cut Through The Noise…

What It Really Means

In our lifetimes few, if any, issues have challenged our consciousness, morality and sense of right and wrong as abortion has.
On one side is the argument, “It is my body, my choice.”
On the other side is, “Yes, it’s your body and your choice, until you share it with someone else and a unique individual, never produced before, will be born to the world.”

Then the argument goes beyond “if” you have the right to how long does that right exist.
On one side they say it’s my body, I have the right until the moment of birth (and some say beyond) to stop the birth.
On the other side they say you have no right once that process has begun, because unless you cut it out, a life will be born.
Compelling arguments that have divided the nation for half a century.

Where are the American people?
In my opinion they are not on either extreme. They do not support abortion the day before birth, nor do they want to say never if an undesired pregnancy has begun. I would venture to guess that outside the far ends of opinion most would say I favor abortion until a point. Is that point first trimester? I would guess again, yes.

Okay, that said, what was in the opinion we saw released yesterday?
First, let’s start with this, the decision we saw yesterday was an opinion and not a decision.
Second, despite the coverage and hysteria, the opinion, if it becomes the decision, would not outlaw abortion.
I think if you surveyed the nation today a lot of people would think the decision outlawed abortion. It does not.
What it does is say that abortion is up to each state to decide for themselves and not a federal decision. Why? The justices supporting that are saying there is nothing in the constitution that makes it a federal issue.
This is a decision of justices who believe they are to interpret and not make law. You want abortion, then pass it and we will say it is law.
This decision was based upon Mississippi passing a law that limits abortion to the first 15 weeks.

Okay then, so if the decision comes down as is what happens?
Well, in Mississippi you cannot get an abortion after 15 weeks.
In New York, California and other states you can get an abortion up to the second the baby is born. In fact, even partial birth abortion.
Thus, it becomes a state issue to set their time frame and limits. That’s all.
The act is not outlawed.

Now can people change their state law? Of course. They have to vote for what they want.
If Mississippi wants abortion until the day of birth, all they need to do is vote in people who support that.
If New York wants abortion in the first trimester only, they need to vote in people who support that.
It’s that simple, vote for what you want.

Thus, as you watch the debate and hysteria keep this in mind. Too many will fall for the hype and think to the extreme on both sides.
Can there be a national law?
Of course, if we could agree across the nation. I think I know where the majority of us would come down, but that position would never satisfy the extreme on either end.

The Moral issue of our time is now front and center. Let’s stick to the facts and not media hysteria.

Thanks For Reading.

It Comes Down To Lost Values…

Two Examples Within Minutes

Last night I was at a restaurant in a discussion with some town and industry leaders. One person at my table was a police commissioner. The conversation got to the police and the issues faced in hiring and retaining officers today.
Some examples were given on how the officers are treated today, incidents on the street and the job. It was shocking to everyone at the table leading one highly respected individual, a leader in the community, to say “when I was young we were all taught to respect the police and authority.”
Think about that statement. Weren’t we all? I bet every reader of this blog was, and I bet we still do.
The problem is too many weren’t and they are the loud voices and the ones the media covers. They need to learn respect, not the rest of us to sink to their level. They lost values, we didn’t.
I jumped into the conversation asking a question I heard at the Mayorkas hearing last week. What per cent of the police are bad officers? The highest anyone got was 1%.
How many industries can say that? I am not even sure my church can.
Then I mentioned we hear so much about the charges against an officer, but then when they are cleared (as I wrote of the Buffalo officer a few weeks ago), where is the coverage?
Lost values is what it is.
You destroy authority and you can chip hard at the base of society. We are experiencing it.

Then

Then I came home and the news was breaking of a leak from the Supreme Court. A leak from the Supreme Court, how is that possible?
In the history of the nation this had not occurred, to my knowledge, and now we had it?
Lost values.
No one who values our nation, foundation, freedom, history and rule of law would have done this. Only someone who lost all values and thinks they are more important than rules, history and law could have done it.

Two things within a span of an hour that illustrated to me that we have created a society of more wealth than any before and educated the populace beyond any ever.
We just forgot to teach them values and they think it is all theirs and don’t understand what it took to get here.

The left will use this leak and decision to make noise, get sympathy and coverage. They feel entitled. After all it is there way or no way. The value of caring about others and what they think, that’s gone.

Today is about lost values that built this nation. We who still believe in values need to stand up and speak up.

I know you’re registered to vote, make sure you do and register those around you who still have values. The future is at stake.

Reviewing The Weekend…

What The Weekend Brought

“I’m really excited to be here tonight with you — the only group of Americans with a lower approval rating than I have,” President Biden said as he began his remarks at the first White House Correspondents’ Association dinner since 2019.
That was right, the media has driven itself to the lowest levels possible! Well earned too.
Then he “joked” about Donald Trump:
“This is the first time the president has attended this dinner in six years,” he said. “It’s understandable! We had a horrible plague — followed by two years of COVID.  Just imagine: If my predecessor came to this dinner this year, now that would really have been a real coup.”
One other thing he “joked” about that had a lot of truth to it was this:
“Our Republicans seem to support one fella,” Biden said. “Some guy named Brandon…” Yes they do.

The Speaker did not attend the dinner. She and a few congressional members were in Ukraine for a surprise visit with President Zelensky. Pelosi told reporters during a press conference in Poland that the trip was to “send a clear message to the world: America stands with Ukraine.”
The administration and congressional Democrats at the outset of the war were clearly leading from behind. Now that they see the Ukrainians are heroes and will not give up, they recognize the political advantage of supporting them. That’s good for Ukrainians as long as they follow through with military aid on a timely basis. It will really help the Ukrainians and the Democrats in November.
Of course, had she taken a bi-partisan group of congressional leaders the visit would have been more impactful, but why do that? The old adage that differences end at the border is another lost value of our nation.

In fact, a Washington Post/ABC News poll released yesterday showed some progress for the President and his party, especially the mid term voting preferences. Here is a report on the results:
President Biden’s approval rating increased slightly over the past two months, according to a new poll, but the latest numbers illustrate frustrations the American public still have with Democrats on a number of issues. The poll found that 42 percent of respondents approve of the way Biden is handling his job as president — up 5 percentage points from February’s 37 percent, which marked his low point in Post-ABC News surveys.
Fifty-two percent said they disapprove of the job Biden is doing, which is down 55 percent from February.
A poll of the generic midterm ballot, however, shows that the two parties are on equal footing — 46 percent of respondents said they would lean toward voting for a Democratic candidate if the election were held today, while 45 percent sided with a Republican candidate.

Here’s an interesting report from The Committee To Unleash Property, that came out yesterday. On Friday we mentioned that leaders in the congress were talking of raising taxes in light of run away inflation and an economy in trouble. Take a look:
We mentioned the other day Chucky Schumer’s tax increase plan. Turns out it’s even stupider than we thought. The Democratic plan to fight high energy prices is to…. raise energy taxes.
The Washington Post:
Senate Majority Leader Charles E. Schumer (D-N.Y.) has asked his caucus in recent days to craft proposals that ratchet up federal enforcement targeting the energy sector, according to Democratic aides, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to describe their deliberations. A wide array of Democrats, including Sens. Maria Cantwell (Wash.), Ron Wyden (Ore.), Elizabeth Warren (Mass.) and Tammy Baldwin (Wis.), are now finalizing measures that would impose steep fines for abuse, crack down on corporate consolidation or set up new taxes on oil and gas companies’ profit windfalls
.

Speaking of dumb, did you see Homeland Security Secretary Alejando Mayorkas on Sunday talk shows?
He said his department has prepared since September for the lifting of Title 42, a measure that has allowed the government to prevent asylum seekers from getting court appearances during the pandemic.
Really, he said that.
The same guy who said he inherited the border problem and he had it under control! Hey Mayorkas, the border is a mess and you have no policy. You better hope no terrorists come through on your failed watch.
But, keep telling people all is well and you fixed it. You can fool some of the people all the time.

One more lie from the weekend. This time from Press Secretary Psaki. She said she does not know who Nina Jankowicz is.
Now Jankowicz is going to be in charge of disinformation for the administration. That’s a position kind of like Putin and other arm leaders have. They tell their people the “real version of truth.” You know, things like the “Ukrainians are Nazi’s,” with their Jewish leader Zelensky.
Well it seems to me Jankowicz is better suited to spread misinformation than define it.
After all she has been all in on the Hunter Biden’s laptop as a “Trump campaign product.” She called it false. She was all in on Russian Collusion, saying Trump was working with Russia. She called the Steele Dossier real. She also made some polarizing comments about Elon Musk’s Twitter purchase. After all, banning the NY Post for a real story was right I guess. You get the idea.
Now she is being put in charge of the Department of Homeland Security’s Disinformation Governance Board to tell us what is real.
Take note, she reports to Homeland Secretary Mayorkas who I called a liar above, so I guess that makes sense. Let’s see what the two together can drum up.

And We’re Off Onto Another Week.

Some Tidbits…

Interesting I Think

I find it interesting that the Democrats are doing all they can to knock former President Trump out of the 2024 race now because they think if he runs he will win.
Yet, the Republicans are most fearful that he will run and can’t win the general election.
How interesting is that?

This new book to be released, “This Will Not Pass,” has provided daily interesting tidbits on the President, former President and their teams. The latest is this one:
Sen. Manchin told Sen. John Thune early last year that he’d defect to the GOP if Thune were its leader instead of Mitch McConnell.  Interesting in that Thune is one of three mentioned as McConnell’s replacement.

The Democrats were winning the redistricting battle based upon the ten year census. As you may recall they felt comfortable they had redrawn New York so they could pick up four seats. Well, this week the New York State Court of Appeals tossed out the map.
Now all eyes turn to Florida which did the opposite, putting themselves in position to pick up 3-4 seats and they are in court.

When he came on the scene in 2020 he was the youngest congressional member in the chamber. Rep. Madison Cawthorn, in his wheelchair with a great smile, looked like a force to deal with. Then he started acting his age and the last few months have not been good. He blasted members saying he was invited to cocaine and orgy parties. Then when called on it for names had none to give. This week he was stopped at the airport with a loaded gun — for the second time. He is facing a primary now and not a guarantee to get elected.

Remember the John Hinckley story where he was going on tour as a singer-songwriter? Well, Hamden Connecticut, just announced that his planned August show is canceled. Why? There was an outpouring of protests and anti support for it.
However, his July 8th show in New York City is sold out. Surprised?

Was Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas for real this week?  He claimed they “inherited a broken border” and are getting it under control. In what world is he living? He insisted that the Biden administration has a plan for dealing with the expected influx of more than a half-million illegal immigrants a month. What?
You know what the plan is? Faster processing so they ship people inland.
If you believe anything he said the past two days on the hill, consider yourself a charter member of the, you can fool some people all the time club.

The economy is now one quarter from recession. The administration’s answer is higher taxes and more spending. In fact, Majority Leader Schumer said he met with Senator Manchin to discuss the possibility of a party-line package focused on raising taxes.
Yup, that’s the right way to beat inflation. Tax and spend.
Someone tell them that’s how they got into this mess.

That’s a logic they share with Russian leader Vladimir Putin. He (Putin) cut off natural gas supplies to two nations, Poland and Bulgaria. Someone should tell him the only thing keeping his economy afloat is gas sales. Cutting clients off may not be the best idea as he desperately tries funding his Ukrainian excursion.
With this move I can’t understand why he and Biden don’t get along.

Sometimes You Can’t Make Up Things Crazier.

They Can’t Be Real…

Are They Really Serious?

I am watching the reaction and comments from some on Elon Musk buying Twitter, and all I can say is “Are They Serious?”

“The loss of free speech?”
Are they real? What do they think they did before and since the 2020 election? You mean allowing all free speech is a loss? For who?

“That’s the end of truth.” What?
In what world are these people living? You ran for years with Russian Collusion – a lie. You allowed the Steele Dossier to be talked about – a lie. You allowed tweets on Trump’s private server to Moscow – a lie. You banned a leading newspaper (NY Post) for a story that was true, because you thought it couldn’t be. You were wrong. Then you banned anyone connecting the story to their tweet. You were wrong.
You chose sides in an election, is that free speech?

“We have to ban lies.”
Oh really, who is the arbitrator? You banned people on the right with 98% of your bans, that’s free speech? Adam Schiff lied, why is he still on? He told the big lie on collusion and claimed to have seen the evidence that didn’t exist. Jerry Nadler lied, did you ban him? Who did you ban for the collusion lie? Did you ban any of the 51 “intelligence experts” for their lie about the laptop? Did you ban the current President for saying he had no idea what his son and brother were doing? Why not, you banned the last President. You allow the Ayatollah and Putin on, do they tell the truth?

When I watch the commentators on the left saying that Elon Musk buying Twitter is the end of free speech and the greatest threat to our nation they can imagine, I wonder in what universe they are living. Are they so blind and one sided they don’t see the real world? Is every outlet supposed to support their leftist view or they are a threat? Well, I have news for them, they are the threat, they are just too blind to see it.

And to those leaving because free speech is coming, you are the blindest of all. Try allowing your eyes to read so your mind can understand.

Crime In America

The Democrats are running as fast as they can (with media coverage) to say they support the police – and that includes the Commander In Chief. Why?
An election in seven months and crime on the rise. They need to run away from the progressive left and their “defunding the police.”
You see the police are the not the problem.
Last year we saw a 59% increase in killings of law-enforcement officers from the year before, with officers intentionally killed in the line of duty — in fact, the most since 1995. (Excluding the 9/11 attacks.)
FBI Director Chris Wray said:
“Violence against law enforcement in this country is one of the biggest phenomena that I think doesn’t get enough attention.”
No kidding Director, you know why? It doesn’t fit the lefts narrative. You know – the free speech people.
He added:
“Some of it is tied to the violent crime problem as a whole. But one of the phenomena that we saw … is that [more] were killed through things like being ambushed, or shot while out on patrol.”

And the media doesn’t even bother to cover the deaths. But let a cop do something out of line and it’s end to end for days of coverage. Often the officer is found innocent, but they don’t report that and by then have ruined the officers life and created turmoil.

Nuclear Weapons

We have the Russians threatening nuclear weapons in the Ukraine as they fail in their invasion. Now we have this news on North Korea:
They will test a nuclear weapon before the end of the year and may do so as soon as next week, according to U.S. national security analysts, who say Pyongyang is increasingly eager to put pressure on President Biden after more than a year of watching his administration’s foreign policy moves.
A nuclear test would shake up the regional and global security landscape while S. Korea is preparing to swear in a hawkish president and the U.S. and its top allies are consumed with the fallout from Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.
North Korean leader Kim Jong-un’s last nuclear test, in 2017, sparked intense brinkmanship that eventually resulted in a pair of high-stakes summits with President Trump.
Kim appears eager to set Seoul on edge as it goes through its first leadership transition in five years.

Then we have Iran who it was reported this week is very close to their own nuclear weapon. Yet we are continuing to beg them to take our deal and not do so for the next few years. They (Iran) want the terrorist label removed and thus far we haven’t given in — after all, they are the worlds leading terrorist nation.

Lastly, today you may have heard that many are going back to 1995 and what President Clinton agreed to for the Ukrainian mess today. (Ukraine agreed to give up their weapons for a guarantee of support from the President and others).
Well, the former President doesn’t like the blame. He said that arguments that his polices sowed the seeds of the Russian invasion of Ukraine were:
“The biggest load of bull you’ll ever hear.” No, Mr. President, that’s not true. You might have told one or two bigger than that.

Have A Great Day.



Guest Host On Student Loans

Editors note: Today we have a guest host, who upon reading the Democratic Plan to cancel student debt wanted to share his thoughts on the implications of doing that from the cost to the mid term implications.

Fiscal Insanity and Moral Hazard- a path to victory for the Dems in the mid-terms
C. Paul Tyborowski

There is no denying that Student Loan Debt is at a near crisis level and should be addressed. It’s estimated that about 35% of the 44+ million individuals with SLD cannot even afford basic essentials.   The current thinking out of Washington is to unconditionally forgive some of it, as $10,000, or all of it.  This puts the price tag somewhere between $400 billion and about $1. 8 trillion.

This approach is wrong on many levels, and it does nothing to solving the inherent problem.  

  • It’s the definition of fiscal insanity- (it wouldn’t solve the problem but sets the precedence which could repeated over and over again in the future and have no different outcome).  
  • It creates a moral hazard mindset by taking away the consequences or the need to act in good faith.  Borrow but find no need to honor your commitment to pay it back.   
  • Notwithstanding the above, it is not equitable to those individuals who sacrificed in many ways to pay off their own loans, or pay their kid’s way through college, and/or made the hard choices to select less “attractive” less expensive school. (Never mind that in addition to their sacrifices they get the “joy” of knowing they will also be paying for someone else’s kid college through their taxes).

Set aside the fiscal insanity, moral hazard and inequitable treatment of many Americans outright loan forgiveness can be a winning strategy for the Dems in the mid-terms. Recent action by Biden to defer reinstating loan payments until August ties nicely into this strategy. It sets the stage for a couple of months before the election to make the borrowers feel the pain of making payments – it’s a reality check to help make the election a binary choice. “Vote Democratic for student loan relief.”

It’s not just strongly influencing the votes of those 44+ million current borrowers-, it’s some portion of their parents and siblings and friends that can be sympathetic and influenced. You don’t have to change a big percentage of the votes of the potentially 100+ million pool to win the mid-terms. You should be able to get quite a few to change their vote for $10,000.  

Even with all the negative noise the Democrats have gotten from the other issues, inflation, crime, the border, Ukraine, Russia, etc.  by simply owning this “giveaway” and making it the dominant mid-term issue, a “vote the pocketbook” election choice- they can turn the tide. 

If the Democrats imbed the giveaway in a reconstituted “Build Back Better” program, it not only precludes the Republicans from owning the issue in any manner but may even get more Democrats to vote for it.     

There is a “woke” trap in this strategy which could help the Dems snatch defeat from the hands of victory. Placing a low-income cap on eligibility would more than sour the issue to many working-class and middle-class borrowers.   

There are actions that could be taken to ease the student loan payment burden in a more equitable manner i.e., allowing 401k monies to be used without penalty for loan payments and if you want to go so far, temporarily having a government 401k contribution to all the eligible plan participants as those earning up to the Social Security limit.  

The student loan issue is complex and systemic in nature.  There is an “insanity” in the root cause- lending of tens if not hundreds of thousands of dollars to teenagers who have no known means of employment or making payments.  There is little cost-to-value consideration in the loan process in  choosing a private college over a public university. The necessity of 4 years/120 credits for a degree has been sacrosanct for eons.  If you need just 45 to 60 credits in your major to graduate, what is wrong with a 90-credit degree- other than 25% less tuition for a college. The old argument college provides greater access to a “broader educational experience” is muted with today’s internet offerings. 

All that said, seeking a solution for this complex problem is not the core goal for many politicians- their concern is to get re-elected.  All in all, another $440 billion added onto our $30 trillion national debt is only 1.46% increase- not a lot to win an election.  And if the Republicans naively don’t get out in front of this issue, they deservedly might just lose the mid-terms. 

Let’s Talk Taxes And The Left…

Lot’s Of Tax Talk In The News

Yesterday we mentioned the White House is still saying the Trump Tax Cuts destroyed our economy and increased the deficit. Here are the numbers for tax receipts by year with 2019 just released.
FY 2019, $3.46 trillion ; FY 2018, $3.33 trillion ; FY 2017, $3.32 trillion ; FY 2016, $3.27 trillion.
With 2020 estimated at $3.71 trillion.
Now unless you believe numbers lie, ask yourself how the tax cuts took away from the economy. Receipts went up.
I will repeat once again, we don’t have a tax problem, we have a spending problem.

John F. Kennedy cut taxes to drive the economy. Ronald Reagan did it. Donald Trump followed that. In all three cases the economy took off.
If they raise taxes watch what happens.
People move money out of the economy and country. Corporations move out and take jobs with them.

We are heading to a possible recession not because we cut taxes, but because we spent too much. And if you believe spending more on Build Back Better would not accelerate the problem, you need to go back to school and study economics.

On corporations they want to raise the tax rate to 28%. The Trump team lowered it to 21%. His advisors wanted to go 15% by the way. The lower rate worked. It was 35% remember. If we raise it to 28% we will lose corporations and jobs. We will be higher than the competition and China specifically.
To me we need to be competitive and it makes no sense to raise this rate.

Now the administration did want to raise the deductions for state taxes from $10,000 that the Trump administration got through. Why? Simply because the blue states have high taxes and their voters want this deduction. You see if they can deduct their state taxes they pay less federal taxes than the people in low tax states. Why is that fair?
Federal tax is federal tax, pay your bill. You have an issue on not being able to deduct your state tax – well, then vote in your state to lower taxes. Don’t ask other citizens to pay your bill. It’s your problem.

The Supreme Court agreed and just threw out the Democrats challenge to the $10,000 limit.
That means:
If you live in CA, IL, NY, or NJ, you are either going to have to pay your state taxes or get the tax laws changed in the state. You do have a third choice – move to a low tax state like Florida, Texas, South Dakota, etc.

An offshoot of that, by the way, was this report this week.
The hottest job markets in America are in five different states, but they have a lot in common. The markets are in midsize cities, in states with low or no income taxes.
They are: Austin, Texas; Nashville, Tenn.; Raleigh, N.C.; Salt Lake City; and Jacksonville, Fla.

Progressives Are Way Out In Left-field

Wait, I guess they are in left field so that old baseball term is true! A few examples:

Senator Warren doubled down on her recommendation to the President to cancel student debt. What she made clear was she wants $50,000 per person canceled. Think about that.
You worked your way through – you lose.
You paid back your debt – you lose.
Your parents sacrificed vacations, good times, and things they wanted to play your bill – they lose.
You chose to not go to college so you didn’t occur debt – you lose.
You went to school at night and gave of yourself to better your life – you lose.
If you did anything that reeked of responsibility, you lose.
In fact you lose twice.
First for paying your bill, debt and obligation.
Second, because now you will pay for those who didn’t.

Editors Note: We have some readers who have strong thoughts on this and tomorrow we will turn this blog over to one to address this issue.

ABC never disappoints. Remember yesterday when we shared AOC’s comments on why we should not waste funds on hiring police because of subway crime because maintenance was the issue?
Well, here’s a story that came out yesterday.
Felony assualts in the NYC subway spiked more than 50% between February and March.
While crime has increased, ridership is 55% of what it was prior to the pandemic.
AOC, you know what we need?
We need more police, more arrests and less instant bail. We need law abiding citizens to be able to ride safely.

While we’re on that topic here’s an example of liberal nuttiness.
What we hear from them all the time about crime is guns. Gun violence. That’s the root of it all, they claim.
Then the Mayor deploys an anti gun unit (similar to what Rudy Giuliani did to clean up the city) and they call it a police state. They are against it. Then the unit arrests illegal gun carriers on the street like the four arrested Sunday. Illegal guns in a city with the toughest gun laws, all good, right? Wrong.
All four were on the street within hours because of bail reform, lax judges and a leftist DA.
The next time you hear gun violence remember this.

There’s so much more, but we’ll leave it there for today.

It’s A Messaging Issue…

No, It Isn’t Messaging

We heard former President Obama and Democratic leaders tell us that the problem for President Biden is a messaging one. He simply isn’t getting his message across they say, because things are going so well and the polls don’t reflect it.
And therein lies their problem.
They don’t even know why they are lagging. It’s their policies.
Despite that the progressives “know” what’s wrong. You see, they say the party hasn’t gone far left enough.

Yesterday, on a Sunday Show, Senator Warren was clear about this. She said:
Democrats are going to lose” in the 2022 midterm elections if they do not deliver on more of their legislative priorities. She gave an example of cancelling all student debt. If the President does this (and he may at the end of August) it will set them back even further. Most Americans feel exactly as we wrote a few weeks ago. You took out the loan, you pay back your own bill.
Warren is not alone.
Crime is an issue. Defunding was a failure. AOC has the answer on more police in NYC’s subways:
She and fellow progressives vehemently opposed an MTA plan to hire 500 new cops to patrol the subways. 
“In our view desperately needed resources would be better invested in subway, bus, maintenance and service improvements,” the letter read. “We are urging the MTA to divest from this current model of criminalization.”
Oh, so the problem is maintenance. That’s why all the crime we have been reading about is up.
Who knew? I would have never guessed the criminals would be so upset at maintenance. Thank you AOC.

Note to President and team:
I still think it’s the defunding you supported and the resulting high crime that has people angry.
I don’t think this is a messaging issue, it is a policy issue.

Let’s see, there is the border issue.
I know the President and his advisors are for open borders, but I promise you most of us aren’t. You might want to consider what is happening and your plan to make it worse with the lifting of Title 42.
Your people might like it, but the country doesn’t and won’t.
This is not a messaging issue, it is a policy issue.

While on the border, your rush to judgement condemning and promising prosecution for the guards on horseback sure backfired. You and your team promised a “swift” investigation and action.
What happened?
Well, you delayed and delayed and then delayed again. Now you announce the border agents did nothing wrong.
Really now?
You and your fellow Democrats condemned the agents. You declared them guilty. Now they’re innocent. Where’s the coverage? Where’s the apologies? Where’s the “I am sorry?”
You know the messaging issue here?
The administration was out front on the wrong side of the issue and condemning.
That’s not a messaging issue, it was a wrong policy issue.

I have more bad news on the border for you. Candidates in your party who have to run in November are turning on your policy. Senators from NH, Arizona, Montana, Georgia and Nevada, as an example, are saying your policy is wrong. One of them actually said we should build the wall.
I repeat, the border is not a messaging issue, it is bad policy.

Your policy is to cancel the Trump tax cuts. You say it has cost the government billions. Except the numbers just came out and tax revenues are up. In fact, we had a tax revenue record year. You were wrong. The tax cuts didn’t increase the deficit, spending did. Rescinding the tax cuts is not the answer, spending less is, and your continued push to spend more is not what Americans want. The people you surround yourself with may want it, but you are out of touch again.
It’s not a messaging issue, it’s a policy issue.

Then I hear you say that you are going to make all military vehicles climate friendly, so no more what’s best to win a battle and war. Really? You are going to mess with the military on climate? You think that’s a winning issue? I have news for you, no amount of messaging will sell this one.
While on the climate, you think that your messaging on the cost of fuel as “Putin’s Price Rise” is working? Wrong again.
You can message that all day and night. People know it was your policy.

By the way, I saw this environment report this week. Take a look:

Interesting, isn’t it? I could be wrong but this looks like a better messaging opportunity than your teams “we are all going to die” one.

I know you and team are CNN fans. I bet you all thought CNN+ was a good idea. Ask you team if that was a poor decision or a messaging issue.

Mr. President, you have a messaging problem. You are messaging the wrong things. The wrong side of issues that people care about. I think you should look at those advising you. They are leading you straight down in the polls. It’s their messaging that’s the issues. You are following the wrong counsel.
In fact, Paul Begala, the former Clinton aide, had a great messaging idea for you. He proposed you tell Americans that Republicans: “Fear Trump more than they care about you.”
Now that’s a message that could help.

The McCarthy Tapes

Kevin McCarthy has long wanted to be speaker. He was derailed last time (when Paul Ryan got it) because of extra martial affair rumors. Now he sees it within his grasp and here come the tapes where he says he wanted President Trump to resign after he called the story false news. Not a good look for him. You can’t lie when people are saying they wonder about your truthfulness.
Now, he can probably make it through this, but I hear there are more tapes, and maybe we will get a Republican Speaker next year, but it may not be McCarthy.
Three more things on the tape release.
First, he was talking to Liz Cheney on them. The same Liz Cheney against whom he has endorsed her primary opponent. She said she did not release them. Did she say no one on her team did? No. Did her Dad get involved? Who knows? But why deny a truth knowing you are dealing with her and that situation?
Second, if she did release them (directly or not) she should be beaten. He spoke to her as the number three person in the house caucus. Even if they split after, to release anything is despicable.
Third, look at how much coverage this is getting. Massive.
Yet, the Hunter Biden story continues to explode and they don’t touch it. Now we hear that there were at least 19 visits uncovered with Hunter’s business partner with VP Biden and/or staff. The President continues to deny he knew anything of what Hunter and his Brother were doing.
This could be a far bigger story and possible lie than McCarthy’s. Yet, coverage in the MSM — zero.
Why is that?

The last week of April is upon us – seven months to the mid terms. Your vote counts.



Other Than The NY Incident

Let’s see, Governor Abbott actually followed through on his threat to send illegal immigrants to Washington DC. It got to me to thinking. Why not offer everyone who comes across in Texas a choice on whether they want to go to Washington DC, New York, California or Chicago. In that way they can choose and they can be transported to these left leaning supportive cities.
I mean what is Mayor Adams going to say? Stop? Abbott can reply don’t tell me, tell the President. He has allowed a million illegally into my state. This group just chose your city.
If busload after busload started arriving in these four places what would they say? Are they going to sue Texas?

Speaking of New York: Did you see that the Lt. Gov. Brian Benjamin had to resign this week after being arrested in connection with an alleged bribery scheme and coverup? This was while he was being vetted to join the administration of Gov. Kathy Hochul, as she assumed the Governorship from Andrew Cuomo, who was forced to resign. In recent years there has been a long line of forced resignations in NY.
But, you know what? Democrats continue to garner 70%+ of the vote in NYC.
Proving again that you get what you vote for.

Do you remember the news and headlines when during the George Floyd case in Buffalo one elderly protester blocked the police and fell to the ground as pushed aside? You should recall the uproar and demand for charges on the officers.
Well guess what?
An arbitrator ruled the use of force was “absolutely legitimate” because the man, who was hospitalized with a head injury, was “not an innocent bystander.” He added:
The officers had not violated the department’s guidelines and there was no evidence that they “had any other viable options other than to move Gugino out of the way of their forward movement.” Mr. Gugino, he added, had not complied with an order “to move back, and was making odd physical gestures within a foot” of the officers.
This was on top of a grand jury last year declining to indict the two officers, who had been facing felony assault charges.
And to top it all off, the gentleman who was involved (and caused) the incident refused to appear and did not respond to a subpoena to appear at the hearing and “in effect refused to testify” on his own behalf.
Now the media covered this for days as police brutality. Where is the story and apologies now?

I see, ninety-five House Republicans are demanding that Attorney General Merrick Garland appoint a special counsel to investigate Hunter Biden for financial impropriety overseas. Republican lawmakers, led by Rep. Carol Miller of West Virginia, sent a letter to the Justice Department on Wednesday urging Mr. Garland to ensure that current probes of Hunter Biden’s business dealings are free of conflicts of interest. “We believe that in the case of Hunter Biden a Special Counsel must be appointed to preserve the integrity of this investigation and any subsequent prosecution,” the lawmakers wrote. “A Special Counsel would also ensure there is no bias in the investigation or undue influence from the White House.”
Won’t happen, I believe, until after the mid terms – if the Republicans win.

Remember the story of the Russia warship and their demand of surrender? The one where the Ukrainian soldiers replied as to what the Russians can do? Well, it’s now a stamp in the country. Here’s a picture.

Image

Some Political Thoughts

As we get closer to the mid terms every senate race is key. The Democrats may have lost a top recruit and their best candidate against Sen. Grassleyin in Iowa. Former Rep. Abby Finkenauer was knocked off the Democratic primary ballot for failing to submit the proper number of petition signatures to qualify for the race.
She is appealing, but as of now she is out of the race.

On the Republican side, Lynn Cheney is fighting back. She raised $2.94 million in the first quarter. (Normal might have been a few hundred thousand.) She has $6.8 million on hand for the Republican Primary on August 16th. It is clear she is ready to battle. On top of the money she has been endorsed by George W. Bush, Mitch Mcconnell, Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan.
Her opponent, Harriet Hageman, has raised half the amount Cheney has. She has received endorsements from Donald Trump, Kevin McCarthy, Peter Thiel and dozens of House Republicans who kicked Cheney out of House GOP leadership.
One more thing to remember and consider. There is a third candidate in the race. A pro Trump state senator named Anthony Bouchard. His vote will be anti Cheney, too, and if he gets enough, maybe Cheney squeaks back in.
This one will be a Republican donnybrook.

The President announced that the EPA Administrator is planning to allow E15 gasoline—which uses a 15% ethanol blend—to be sold this summer at gas stations. He hopes this can reduce the price of a gallon by up to ten cents. So think about it: One million gallons a day from our reserve and now this. Yet, the price is still up over $1.50 per gallon. And by the way, the ethanol is bad for the environment, which he is so concerned about. Why does he want every small impact solution as opposed to just easing regulations and just drill in America?

Hope Your Thursday Is A Good One.