You just woke up …..


Okay it’s one week from today and you just woke up to the fact:
– That Hillary Clinton was elected President yesterday. How do you feel?
– Or, that Donald Trump just won. How do you feel?
Of course in this crazy election there’s a third real possibility. An electoral tie at 269 each. Wouldn’t that be the appropriate for this incredible year.

Can that happen? Yes. In fact easily. Here’s an example.
Trump wins all the Romney states and adds the three we identified yesterday – Florida, Ohio and Iowa. Total 259.
He then wins the state he was in yesterday Wisconsin. Total 269.

Then what? Two states Nebraska and Maine do their electoral votes by Congressional District. Nebraska seems locked to Trump. Maine has one district, it’s second. That district is a toss up. In a 269 tie it could swing one Maine vote (A Clinton state) to Trump and a 270-268 win.
Otherwise a tie goes to the House for a vote. Trump would win there since even the “never Trump” Republicans would vote for him.
You heard it first here.

What do the polls say this AM?
ABC says it’s a tie. (Imagine they have Clinton gaining a point)
IBD says it’s a tie. (Trump + 1 since yesterday.)
Rasmussen says it’s tied. (Same as yesterday).
The LATimes shows Trump up 6. They continue to be an outlier.
Real Clear Politics now has the Clinton lead down to 1.7%

Keep an eye on the electoral college now. That’s all that matters.

A question we’ve asked for months and still have no answer to is this:
– What does Hillary stand for? What is she pushing in this campaign?
Bringing the Miss Universe from Venezuela back on stage to say Trump called her fat last night is kind of desperate in the last week of the campaign.
Trump’s message should be what we have touted for months:
– If you want more of the same she is your candidate. If you want change I am the person. If you’re satisfied with the way things are in the country, if you’re satisfied with our standing overseas, she is your person. If you want a new direction I am your candidate.
Seventy per cent of Americans want change.

Her advantage remains the electoral count with the large states not competitive. California (55), New York (29), Illinois (20) alone are 104.

Her second advantage is the locked in demographic voting groups that are Democratic no matter what.

Her third advantage is the early voting process and how the Democrats register and get the early vote in.

Her fourth advantage is a united party on the campaign trail versus those Republicans failing to endorse or vote Trump. In fact there was a story this AM that George W. Bush, like his Dad, is voting for Hillary. (In that way she can win and blame him for everything. I personally am done with the Bush’s). Here’s an example of her surrogates on the trail today versus Trump’s support:
-Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton campaigns in Tempe, Ariz., at 9:30 p.m. ET and in Las Vegas. Her running mate, Sen. Tim Kaine, campaigns in Dubuque, Iowa, at 2:45 p.m. ET and in Des Moines with former President Bill Clinton at 8 p.m. ET.  President Barack Obama delivers remarks at a “Get Out The Early Vote” event for Hillary Clinton at University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill at 3:15 p.m. Vice President Joe Biden delivers remarks at a “Get Out The Early Vote” Clinton campaign event in Tampa, Fla., at 11:15 a.m. and later in West Palm Beach, Fla.Sen. Bernie Sanders campaigns for Mrs. Clinton in Michigan and Wisconsin, while Sen. Elizabeth Warren campaigns in Nevada.
Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump holds a rally in Miami at noon, Orlando, Fla., at 4 p.m. and Pensacola, Fla., at 7 p.m. His running mate, Gov. Mike Pence, campaigns in Mesa, Ariz., at 1 p.m. ET, Las Cruces, N.M., at 4 p.m. ET, and Loveland, Col., at 7:30 p.m. ET.

Let’s see what today brings. The rumor that Wiki Leakes is going to release bombshell Hillary emails is strong. If it’s to occur it will have to be in the next day or two. Anything is still possible.

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