Poll Watching


Trump stuck to the script (and teleprompter) to present his economic plan. It was strong and focused on American jobs, lower taxes, needs and growth. Democrats will hit him on two points:
1. Lowering taxes across the board means lowering “for the 1%”. They will call this unfair. They will disagree with eliminating the death tax too.
2. They will say Trump’s plan raises the national debt by “$10 Trillion dollars”.  They should know, since Obama and Clinton have done exactly that the past eight. Which by the way doubled what Presidents 1 -43 had managed to do in total.

Later this week Hillary presents her plan. Economics are a good issue to focus on, if they can stay on it and argue it at the debates it could help Trump. People want change. He portrays her as the status quo, the old guard with yesterday’s solutions. He is the change. “How can people who created the mess, fix it”? A good position to be in.

But the news for Trump is not good.

No change in the polls this week yet. The Trump fall has subsided as we had forecast now that he was back on message. But, no recovery signs yet. She is up 8-12 in every new poll and if that locks in look out. He has much ground to make up for his actions the past three weeks. No signs yet he is. Here’s a great look from a reliable source. Note the 80% probability she wins. http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-clintons-post-convention-bump-is-holding-steady/

Electoral map looks like a landslide. Add Nevada and Virginia as places where he thought he had a chance and now trails. Even Arizona which like Georgia are Republican bases now is a two point race. He can’t be fighting here and have any chance. Here’s a look at some states. http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2016/aug/7/donald-trumps-bluster-may-cost-him-several-reliabl/?mkt_tok=eyJpIjoiTlRRMFpUUmpORFpoT0RjNCIsInQiOiJLN3IydnFQTEUwZDZPYU9GbGdXR0pNS1ZWS2JMZ25wdWhWaFZuQU1sdytLWjVGYThBdUpCcWQxWlNIUDZpY2tXNFBXK1wvUlJWa01lbGJYZUI2UlNIelJNclVUaXlXeUh4aWNYZEFIUTlJRmM9In0%3D

We’ve said a number of times, a minority party cannot win. Today, fifty former Republican serving national defense leaders came out against Trump. They said he cannot be trusted in the White House. Some of the names surprising, but they did come from the Bush (41 and 43) administrations. This AM Susan Collins Senator from Maine announced she cannot back him. No good news here.

One recent poll has Hillary ahead with the black vote 99-1. http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2016/aug/7/hillary-clinton-dominates-donald-trump-99-percent-/?mkt_tok=eyJpIjoiTlRRMFpUUmpORFpoT0RjNCIsInQiOiJLN3IydnFQTEUwZDZPYU9GbGdXR0pNS1ZWS2JMZ25wdWhWaFZuQU1sdytLWjVGYThBdUpCcWQxWlNIUDZpY2tXNFBXK1wvUlJWa01lbGJYZUI2UlNIelJNclVUaXlXeUh4aWNYZEFIUTlJRmM9In0=

An anti-Trump Republican candiate has emerged.Evan McMullin is his name and he is an ex CIA official. I doubt he gets any traction. Here’s his story. http://www.businessinsider.com/even-mcmullin-independent-presidential-bid-2016-8

A Bush endorsed Trump. George P. Bush, son of former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, is encouraging Republicans to unite behind the Republican nominee.  He wants a future in politics and the Republican party.

Did you see where the Smith and Woods families (sons killed at Benghazi) launched a law suit against Hillary? This charge is part of the suit: “Defendant Clinton made false and defamatory statements negligently, recklessly, purposefully, and/or intentionally with actual malice… by stating that Plaintiffs were lying about Clinton having told them that the Benghazi Attack was caused by an anti-Muslim YouTube video.”  http://www.mediaite.com/online/breaking-parents-of-two-benghazi-victims-file-lawsuit-against-hillary-clinton/

Jill Stein officially accepted the Green Party nomination this weekend. Every vote she gets is one from Hillary and she has been going hard after Bernie Sanders supporters. Read her story here:  http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2016/aug/7/jill-stein-taps-bernie-sanders-movement-in-green-p/?mkt_tok=eyJpIjoiTlRRMFpUUmpORFpoT0RjNCIsInQiOiJLN3IydnFQTEUwZDZPYU9GbGdXR0pNS1ZWS2JMZ25wdWhWaFZuQU1sdytLWjVGYThBdUpCcWQxWlNIUDZpY2tXNFBXK1wvUlJWa01lbGJYZUI2UlNIelJNclVUaXlXeUh4aWNYZEFIUTlJRmM9In0=

We mentioned last week his best bet may be new email releases from Julian Assange and Wikileaks. They reiterated yesterday that they have them coming and they are damning on Hillary. Trump needs a major boost on his line she is a liar and can’t be trusted. This may be his best bet.

Lastly today. Quiet rumors continue that Hillary is not fully healthy. The whispers are getting louder and you may hear this soon. Here’s one of several stories from yesterday. http://www.breitbart.com/2016-presidential-race/2016/08/07/hillary-clinton-needs-help-getting-stairs/

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