Buckle Up …..

Okay buckle up. The President made his pick for the court and even before they knew the name the left was against it. Over the next 60 days you are going to see a character assassination not seen since Ted Kennedy did it to Robert Bork to start this all. It wasn’t always this way.

When Ruth Bader Ginsburg, a liberal voice on the court, won the senate vote it was 96-3.  Do you think conservatives wanted her on the court? You see the process used to be the President nominated a person. The law groups provided a review based not upon ideology but qualification. Was this person qualified to sit on the court? If they said yes then the process moved forward. That was a civilized nation at work.

Now Ted Kennedy changed things with his attack on “Robert Bork’s America”, where he had people in chains and no rights. Go back and see that. What is funny about that is Ted Kennedy was the moral compass. He got away with that, too. A fair non biased press would never have allowed that.

We got back a little to normalcy as you can see with the Ginsburg nomination by Bill Clinton. He also nominated another liberal, Stephen Breyer, who won 87-9.  The Obama nominations Elena Kagan (63-37) and Sonia Sotomayor 68-31) also won easily. George W. Bush nominated a conservative and it was a 58-42 vote. A little closer and a more contentious hearing.

Then came the Merrick Garland incident and all the gloves were off. Would the vehemence be less if Garland had been voted on? I guess somewhat, but not totally. The anti Trump anger is so deeply rooted that I think we would be here anyway. Just look at the press release by the Women’s Movement. It was pre written long before we knew the nominee, and they left an “XX” in place to out the name. Someone forgot to add the name and seconds after the announcement out it went with the “XX” in place. That is the opposition today.

Now, we think he gets approved. The man who spoke last night of his work and life was impressive. If you play that speech and contrast it with the way Kirsten Gillbrand presented him in a speech at the same time, you will not see the person she said. “If Brett Kavanaugh is confirmed, he would tip the balance of the Supreme Court even more against workers’ rights, civil rights, and women’s rights for decades to come. I do not think he is the right choice for our country, and I am going to vote against him and urge my colleagues to do the same. This new judge could be the deciding vote in whether insurance companies can charge people more, or don’t have to cover them at all anymore, if they have preexisting conditions — and nearly half of all New Yorkers have a preexisting condition. He could be the deciding vote to uphold the disastrous Citizens United decision, which allowed corporations to pour unlimited money into our politics. And he could be the deciding vote in overturning Roe v. Wade, which is what President Trump said he wanted his new Supreme Court Justice to do. “I strongly oppose Brett Kavanaugh’s nomination and I urge all New Yorkers to raise their voices and join me in opposing him. We need a justice who will protect the rights of all people in our state — not just some.”

Pure garbage from a person looking to win the far left vote in the 2020 nomination process. Shameful rhetoric for a leader in the senate.

Finally, our opinion is this. If you are far right you will not be happy with Brett Kavanaugh all the time. We bet that both he and John Roberts become the five vote with the four liberals (who never deviate). He is far from the automatic conservative vote and will be far more moderate than the President and far left think. He clerked for Justice Kennedy and it was the Justice who recommended him to the President. Justice Kennedy was very mindful of his place on the court.  Watch and see.

From a political standpoint, the best scenario for his approval would be if the Republicans stay united and vote yes. That means Collins and Murkowski hold, and John McCain’s vote is not needed. That makes it easy and leaves the pressure on the Red State Democrats to either stick with Schumer and party or vote their state desires. It really puts the pressure on them.
Now if Collins and/or Murkowski bolt and say they are a “no” vote, that changes everything. It would really put the pressure on those red state Dems to make a choice. One would need to vote “yes” to make it 50/50 and allow VP Pence to vote.
On this morning after, we think the Republicans hold and some red state senators vote yes to save themselves. Today we see a 55 vote majority.

 

 

 

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