KAVANAUGH

I don’t know anything that shows the liberal bias anymore than the coverage and stories about Brett Kavanaugh. It’s well past the point that fair minded citizens should take notice, demand accountability and stop this.

We went through that hearing where the left raised three witnesses, only one of whom appeared. The other two had holes so large in their stories that they could not appear. The one who did said there were four people at the party, including her best friend. All four had no knowledge. Yet the media and left played it up like there was absolute truth.

Well now one of the four, the main witness, the accusers best friend has spoken for the first time. What did she say?
“I don’t have any confidence in the story,” Leland Keyser said. “Those facts together I don’t recollect, and it just didn’t make any sense,” she added. Can you imagine that? Her best friend, the one she said was at the party and could offer more, said that.
Want more from her? She said this,
“It would be impossible for me to be the only girl at a get-together with three guys, have her leave and then not figure out how she’s getting home. I just really didn’t have confidence in the story.”

Where did she say all this?
In that same book that you heard so much about this week where the media played up the now pulled story about Kavanaugh doing something to another woman who had no clue it happened. That story they got from a third source who heard it somewhere.

Yet the real news of Keyser saying what she did in that same book got no news. Yes, the same book. Think about that. Did the NYT and the media play that up, or the false story?

Now add this from the same book. She was threatented to back the false story. The authors say Keyser told them, “I was told behind the scenes that certain things could be spread about me if I didn’t comply.’’
“Maybe one of you guys who are friends with her can have a heart to heart. I don’t care, frankly, how f–ked up her life is. A lot of us have f–ked up lives in one way or another.’’
Another, apparently referring to what the book called Keyser’s “addictive tendencies’’ said, “Perhaps it makes sense to let everyone in the public know what her condition is. Just a thought.’’

So wait, she was threatened to back a false story? Where is justice in America these days?

This is incredible and the lack of coverage is concerning.

SOME OTHER THOUGHTS

Jimmy Carter said “he couldn’t have been President at 80”, meaning he didn’t have the energy. I know a lot of people who thought he couldn’t do the job at 40.

John Bolton spoke yesterday:
Bolton said “that any negotiations with North Korea and Iran were doomed to failure. All the North Koreans and Iranians want to do is negotiate for relief from sanctions to support their economies”.
He seemed to attack the President without using his name by saying the failure to respond to the Iranian attack on an American drone earlier this summer set the stage for the “Islamic Republic’s aggression in recent months.”

Following Up…

Just following up on yesterday’s story about the NYT and its character assassination of Brett Kavanaugh. Here’s what the times said:
Editorial page editor James Dao:
“The Opinion section, like other parts of The Times, has a process for writing and editing social media copy. In this case, the process was not followed properly, resulting in a story that fell well below our standards. The department is reviewing with everyone involved — including me — what went wrong to determine how we can avoid similar mistakes.”

In their Editorial they said:

This was nothing short of a character assassination and heads should roll. If the NYT wants to remain a reliable source they must take politics out of their coverage. It was reported this morning that sources say that the reporters initially pitched their reporting to the news side, but top editors ultimately felt that there wasn’t enough juice to warrant a story there. It ended up moving “the scoop” to the Sunday Review section.

Two tweets I saw on this matter I want to share, as I think they capture the right’s thought on this.

“Believe Women!”
“But the woman says she doesn’t remember it.”
Oh well, then Believe Men Who Tell Stories About What Happened To Women 30 Years Ago At College Parties!”

Believe facts, believe evidence, believe corroborating witnesses.  Don’t believe the NYT.

Meanwhile, while the Presidential candidates were calling for Kavanaugh’s impeachment on the false story (which again calls into question their leadership and judgement abilities), the person who would lead the house inquiry (Jerry Nadler), said “he has no time”. He has “no time” because he is leading the “Trump impeachment” inquiry. Can you believe all this? Imagine if we had a fair media how much of a laughing stock this would be. Wouldn’t the late night comedians have a field day if this were reversed and Republicans were doing what the Democrats are? Instead we get crickets.

But don’t worry, Nadler’s committee has former Trump campaign manager Corey Lewandowski today.  They want to know whether the President obstructed justice. Mueller wasn’t enough you know.
And oh yea, New York State prosecutors in Manhattan have subpoenaed eight years of President Trump’s tax returns as part of a probe into whether a payment to adult-film actress Stormy Daniels violated a law against falsifying business records.

FOLLOWING UP ON IRAN:
Yesterday the President seemed to back off his “locked and loaded” comments to say he was awaiting reports. Why?
Well first he needs to be careful. Second, he really doesn’t want war. Third, he realizes as we wrote this it is not our fight alone. Fourth, there is a question about who did it. Check these two thoughts out:
1. American intelligence indicates Iran was the staging ground for a debilitating attack on Saudi Arabia’s oil industry.
2. The timing of the attacks is deeply suspicious. The attack came just as President Trump has been considering taking a small step back from his campaign of harsh economic sanctions on Iran. But there are plenty of people who don’t want an outbreak of diplomacy.

There could be a question now. Better to get the right answers before locking, loading and bombing.

Finally, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Iran’s supreme leader, says there won’t be any talks with the U.S. at any level.
Iran plays by different rules and this is going to be a challenge for the
administration.
ENJOY YOUR DAY.

Iran, The NYT, and GM…

Three Topics Today

IRAN:
This blog has consistently said Iran is problem number one in the world. They may likely be behind the oil attack in Saudi Arabia. Why? Because they support terrorism and understand nothing except power. When offered an olive branch they look at it as weakness and go on the attack.
This goes back to 1979 and the weakness of President Carter who allowed the over throw of the government and Ayatollah Khomeini and team to take control. That was followed by taking our hostages and the release of worldwide terrorism.
Remember the day Ronald Reagan raised his hand to be sworn in? At that very moment the Iranians released the hostages. They knew he meant business.
Well last week John Bolton was fired. The story was the final straw of difference between him and others was the administration planning to let up on some of the sanctions imposed on Iran. After the cancelling of retaliation for the downing of our drone, Bolton warned the Iranians would not see it as peace move, but a sign of weakness.
Well if they are behind this drone attack on the oil fields, then what?
First of all I hear the President this AM saying “we are locked and loaded”. Well I ask again, why us? Why do we have to do this? Where is Europe and Japan who get their oil from Iran? Where are they saying “locked and loaded”? Since we are self sufficient on oil today, they need to lead, not us. Let’s see Macron of France demand action. We’ll be happy to be part of it, but where are they first?

The NYT:
The “newspaper of record” is no more. They are now so political that any semblance of fairness is gone. Their report yesterday that another “accuser of Brett Kavanaugh” was out there was so misleading.
It turns out the woman has no recollection of the event, which I would think if she was attacked she would. It turns out the book is written by an attorney who helped defend Bill Clinton in the Lewinsky affair.
To have them print this story (and slightly backtrack today) is a character assassination. To have the MSM run it as if it were fact is to further soil the reputation of the man. Every charge against him was unsubstantiated by anyone, including the four people Chrissy Ford said were at her party.
No one deserves to be mischaracterized as Brett Kavanaugh has been. Think if it were you, your child or family. How angry would you be? The NYT and their MSM friends should be completely embarrassed.
The other thing that is beyond deplorable is the immediate reaction of the Democratic candidates for president, who have publicly called for Kavanaugh’s impeachment over the new charges. With the NYT even pulling back this AM what does make them? Now think about this, do you want a commander in chief who rushes to be judge and jury so quickly? I think this disqualifies them from being the countries and in turn free world’s leader. Who were they?
Kamala Harris, Julián Castro, Elizabeth Warren and Beto O’Rourke were first out of the blocks calling for impeachment. Their actions are despicable and unacceptable for any future leader.

GM Strikes:
You only get strikes like this in good times. You see, when the economy is good people buy. When people buy, jobs are created and sales and profits go up. The problem has always been that in good times everyone assumes they will last forever and strikes happen for more pay, better benefits and other concessions. Then when the downturn hits everyone gets hurt. This is an example. Here are the issues, just read them and you’ll see. As you do, think about the downturn and what happens:

Main areas of disagreement

  • GM is making big money, $8 billion last year alone, and workers want a bigger slice. The union wants annual pay raises to guard against an economic downturn, but the company wants to pay lump sums tied to earnings. Automakers don’t want higher fixed costs.
  • The union also wants new products for the four factories GM wants to close. The factory plans have irked some workers, although most of those who were laid off will get jobs at other GM factories. GM currently has too much U.S. factory capacity.
  • The companies want to close the labor cost gap with workers at plants run by foreign automakers. GM’s gap is the largest at $13 per hour, followed by Ford at $11 and Fiat Chrysler at $5, according to figures from the Center for Automotive Research. GM pays $63 per hour in wages and benefits compared with $50 at the foreign-owned factories.
  • Union members have great health insurance plans, but workers pay about 4% of the cost. Employees of large firms nationwide pay about 34%, according to the Kaiser Family Foundation. The companies would like to cut costs.

That’s the three issues I see today.

Debate…

My thoughts on the debate was status quo.
Biden started strong and hung on to survive the night. Not losing was a win.
Warren played it safe, hoping to maintain her growth momentum.
Bernie played to his crowd, which is not a general election one.
Mayor Pete marched in place. He has lost momentum.
Klobucher appealed to the middle. Usually good, but not in this primary.
Harris was hurt. She looked mean, and oh that laugh.
Beto took advantage of home field, appealed to far left. Progress.
Booker played the role of grown up. Good, but won’t help here.
Castro lost by his attacks on Biden. Bad night.
Yang offered free money and a questionable contest. He may gain.

Not much on the economy as ABC avoided the tough questions. Like who is for healthcare for illegals? No way George and team put the Democrats on the hot seat. Ramos did with his immigration questions. He made it so that if you were for a border or control of who is in the country you are a racist.
By the way, they said that. If you support the administration’s border position you are a racist.

Another word not spoken once – “Impeach”. Why? With congress, yesterday voting to move forward, why was this not raised? Answer, because America is against impeachment; only the far left wants it. So why ask and put the candidates in a bad spot?

The President, for his part, was speaking at a Republican Party event and said this: “We’re fighting two battles: the Democrats and the media.” What do you think?
He also said, the Democrats want to “take your money” and “hurt your family.”

One Other Thought

Did you see this in the news? Does the Tabiban realize it made a mistake?
The Taliban called on the U.S. to restart talks on ending the 18-year-old conflict in Afghanistan, urging the Trump administration to revisit a nearly completed deal after it abruptly withdrew from the process last week.

Also, most interesting was this after forever refusing:
The Trump administration turned over a key piece of new information to lawyers for 9/11 victims’ families, a move that could cast light on reports of Saudi government involvement in the attacks. The FBI provided the name of a Saudi official contained in a 2012 report that the bureau has sought to shield.

Quick Notes…

An example of media bias:
The Supreme Court ruled that the administration is okay enforcing its new asylum directive. The policy is meant to deny asylum to anyone who passes through another country on the way to the U.S. without seeking protection there. So the first free country is where you must apply before coming to the U.S.. The decision reversed a 9th circuit ruling that said the administration was wrong.
Now, when the 9th circuit made its decision this was big news. Yesterday it was not presented as such. And the MSM (outside of Fox) failed to tell listeners that the Supreme Court vote was 7-2. Not 5-4, but 7-2, which means two liberal judges agreed the policy was legal.
Don’t you think the media should have told you that?

China:
The administration announced it will delay by two weeks a planned increase in tariffs on some Chinese imports. They said it was to mark China’s 70th anniversary.
Now the questions are: Is this part of a larger deal? Was it a move that met a China move and opens avenues of agreement?
There was a report that China is looking to narrow the negotiations next month to trade only. That would put the tough issue of IP and national security on a separate track.
I don’t think the administration should or can agree to this.

Bolton Goes:
John Bolton was clearly a hawk and wanted action. He differed with the President’s instinct and Pompeo’s belief. The internal strife left the President with a decision to make, and he chose Pompeo.
Now no other president has had four national security advisers in his first three years in office. Maybe because he came from outside of Washington the President has had trouble filling jobs; or maybe he is just tough to work for, but the turnover is astounding.

Obamacare:
The ACA required everyone to buy (or get for free) healthcare. You may recall the President cancelled that provision. Well here’s some news on that. The number of Americans without health insurance climbed to 27.5 million in 2018, according to new federal data. This is the first increase since the passage of the Affordable Care Act.

Have a great day.

Just My Opinion…

Why doesn’t the media hype things like this?
There are 5.2 million more people in the United States with jobs than at the end of 2016, and 4.5 million of them are minorities.

With the U.S. unemployment rate near a 50-year low, openings at companies like Amazon keep growing. Yesterday it was reported they have 30,000 open positions. How come we only hear negatives?

Really, on the first day back for Congress Jerry Nadler laid out impeachment parameters?

With North Carolina letting 500 illegals go it raised a question for me. Why do we have sanctuary cities? Can someone explain the reasoning to me.

Why were we talking to the Taliban? They allowed Osama to foster his actions, have continued killing Afghans and U.S. military. What made anyone, outside of a false peace agreement, think they could trust them?

The NYT today has this headline:
Trump Had Deal With Scotland Airport That Sent Flight Crews to His Resort.
But the story is a little different. It started in 2014, when after acquiring a golf resort in Scotland, Trump entered a partnership with a struggling local airport there to increase air traffic and boost tourism in the region.
The next year, the Pentagon decided to up its use of that same airport to refuel Air Force flights and gave the local airport authority the job of helping to find accommodations for crews who had to remain overnight.
So the two separate arrangements intersected and now years later the Democrats want to investigate Trump on this.
Crazy. Did any of them ever run a business?

Here’s an American story that with 9/11 tomorrow is heartwarming.
The children of FDNY firefighters who perished on 9/11 are blossoming into a new generation of the Bravest. On the eve of the 18th anniversary of the Sept. 11, 2001 terror attacks, the current FDNY Academy class, set to graduate in two weeks, includes 13 members — 12 men and one woman — whose firefighter fathers were murdered on 9/11.
The historic group of at least 16 “legacy” probationary firefighters also includes the son of a NYPD officer killed on 9/11, and the sons of two firefighters who died due to illness linked to their rescue and recovery work at Ground Zero.
The NY Fire Commissioner said this:
“Bravery runs in these extraordinary families who have sacrificed so much for our city. I’m proud of the commitment these probies have already demonstrated to the department and look forward to celebrating with them at their graduation.”

Have a great day.

After the weekend…

Let’s start with congress is back in town. They have 21 days in session before they close for the year. So the noise will be up. Impeachment is front and center for the House Judicary Committee. How Nancy Pelosi handles this is worth watching. If she allows them to go forward the hearings end next year–a Presidential election year. It will have an impact one way or another.

Speaking of elections, tomorrow is that special congressional election in NC. A Republican district, the polls say this is a toss up. The President is there tonight to try and drive the vote.

ON GUNS, it is clear that President owns this now. Speaker McConnell has been clear that he is not going to move unless the president gives him something to move on. The Democrats say they are ready to move but need to understand what the administration wants. So let’s watch and see what the President does and if he takes on the NRA.

Mark Sanford, the former Governor and Congressman from South Carolina announced he is running against the President in the Republican primaries. Well it looks like the states are cancelling any Republican primaries. What are the thoughts of these people? Maybe a play for the future if Trump falters? “Don’t blame me, I ran against him”?

The Democrats have their debate this week and ten qualified, so it is down to one night and three hours long. We wonder about Biden in this environment, and if the others come after him.
Plus this news you may not have heard:
Billionaire Tom Steyer said he had qualified for the Democratic Party’s October presidential debate, a development that would split the next round of debates over two nights. The DNC’s cutoff for reaching 130,000 individual donors and notching at least 2% support in four qualified polls came and went, with Mr. Steyer needing one more poll at 2%. He got it this morning when CBS/YouGov released a poll showing him with 2% support in the early-voting state of Nevada. It came out too late to put him on the September debate stage but secures his spot in October.
The next one to watch is Rep. Tulsi Gabbard who is also on the cusp of qualifying for the October debate.
Now some may drop out, too, so maybe they stay at ten. We’ll see.

Meanwhile, a Washington Post/ABC poll released yesterday showed the three top candidates in the field are the only contenders polling in double-digits. Joe Biden at 29 percent, Bernie Sanders at 19 percent and Elizabeth Warren at 18 percent led the way. Kamala Harris was fourth with 7 percent, followed by South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg at 4 percent.

Some good news for the administration you might not have heard:
Border arrests for illegal crossings plummeted to 51,000 in August, down more than 60 percent since a peak in May. And border watchers say it’s largely because of an agreement Trump struck with Mexico in June.
Remember when the threat of Mexican tariffs was sniffed at?

We mentioned the unemployment numbers Friday, and the MSM actually reported it as a negative. Here’s a story from Fox Business that tells you about a lot of available jobs and its impact on wages:
In an interview with Stew Leonard Jr., in which he says that the low unemployment rate is creating problems as his eponymous company hires for a new store scheduled to open in New Jersey.
We opened a store in Farmingdale, [NY,] back in 2016, [and] we hired 400 people,” Leonard said. “We had one job fair, filled it up … The new store we’re opening in Paramus, we’ve had to have three job fairs, and the average rate of everybody we’re hiring is $15.50 an hour or more,” Leonard said.

A China Update from the AP:
“China’s trade with US shrinks as tariff war worsens. China’s trade with the United States is falling as the two sides prepare for negotiations with no signs of progress toward ending a tariff war that threatens global economic growth. Imports of American goods tumbled 22% in August from a year earlier to $10.3 billion, customs data showed Sunday. Exports to the United States, China’s biggest market, sank 16% to $44.4 billion.”
And this from the WSJ:
U.S. manufacturers are investing less in their factories and workforces as the trade dispute with China makes it more difficult for executives to anticipate costs and demand. The shifting contours of the tariffs that the U.S. and China have applied to each other’s goods are prompting some companies to put business plans on hold. Others are cutting back investments as trade volumes and economic growth slow around the world.

Have a great day.

Updates…

Well, Iran did escalate the face off yesterday and remains as problem number one.
They announced they will “No Longer Honor Limits on Nuclear Research, a Core Principle of the 2015 Accord”: This was Iran’s third retaliatory suspension of compliance with a provision of the accord since President Trump renounced it last year and reimposed severe sanctions aimed at crippling Iran’s economy.
Their foreign minister (Mohammad Javad Zarif), conveyed the country’s latest step in a letter to Federica Mogherini, the top foreign policy official of the European Union, who has been trying to save the nuclear deal from unraveling.

So the pressure builds and Iran, despite Europe supporting the agreement and working with them, chooses to escalate and blame the U.S.

IRANIAN LEADERS have said they will not start talks with the United States unless sanctions are dropped. President Trump, for his part, reiterated that “dropping sanctions against Iran is not going to happen at this time.”

It’s a standoff and one that is causing Iran pain. They are so used to getting their way that they are — in my opinion — putting themselves in a corner. I guess they are counting on Europe and Japan to pressure the U.S.. I hope they realize this is President Trump and not Obama and Kerry they are dealing with.

I think the meeting yesterday at the White House between President Trump and Democratic Sen. Joe Manchin to discuss a policy response to mass shootings is interesting. Manchin is one of the few Democrats the President can work with and if the two of them craft a policy it would be interesting. I for one, hope they come up with something. We need some action for sure.

Doug Collins, the Republican leader on the judiciary committee, announced yesterday he is going to run for the open senate seat in Georgia. A strong ally of the administration he will be an asset in the senate for them, but missed in congress.

The jobs report this AM should be soothing for the market. The number of new jobs created (130K) was not to the levels expected, but all other aspects were. Unemployment stayed at 3.7%, black unemployment was an all time low at 5.5%, Hispanic unemployment stayed 4.2% and Asian unemployment was 2.8%.
With manufacturing jobs up 3.8%, it doesn’t say “recession”, the word the left and media have been bantering about so much lately.

Have a great weekend.

Getting Petty…

Don’t you think the MSM going after the President on a statement a week ago that Alabama could be hit by the hurricane is beyond petty? ABC even said its a federal crime to put up a false weather map. Really? The President has been out front on this and there is plenty to criticize, but his leadership here is not and it makes the media look small.

A NYT headline story today:
Trump Heads Into 2020 With No Clear Policy Agenda. But It May Not Matter.
Mr. Trump’s primary focus, according to one Republican pollster, is to connect his actions as president to positive economic news “in such a way that people understand and see how it’s personally translating in their lives.”
Do you think the President has no agenda? Hey NYT, you have criticized his policies and positioning of “America First” from the outset. Really, with this headline?

Here’s a case of double fault. Border security.
First, congress has failed in it’s role of securing the border. Totally failed.
Then the President promised a wall and that “Mexico will pay for it”.
So now we face a crisis and how to fund the wall. So the administration, since Mexico won’t pay and Congress refuses to give support, is finding ways to fund.
Yesterday it announced a plan to move $3.6 billion from military budgeted construction projects to build part of the border wall.
NANCY PELOSI who has been against the large increases in defense spending immediately said this: “My view of it is that stealing money from military construction, at home and abroad, will undermine our national security, quality of life and morale of our troops, and that indeed makes America less safe”.
Wait, you voted against any increased spending to start. We are already spending more than you wanted. What hypocrisy.

Shifting funds for the wall projects would delay as many as 127 military projects. Yesterday the Pentagon released a list and several are in states with Republican senators facing competitive re-election races in 2020—opening up a fresh line of attack for Democrats.
Arizona, Colorado and North Carolina are among the 23 states that will see military projects defunded under the move. Sens. Martha McSally (R., Ariz.), Cory Gardner (R., Colo.), and Thom Tillis (R., N.C.) each supported Mr. Trump’s emergency declaration, and they are each up for re-election this year in the closely contested swing states.

Some positive news for the market today:
China said Thursday its trade representatives will fly to Washington in early October to resume negotiations with the United States, raising the possibility that both sides might arrest a recent deterioration in the bilateral relationship that has cast a shadow over the world economy.
China is going to monitor the election and if they think Trump will win we will see a deal.

Iran Saga Continues. This from Politico:
Iran ratchets up pressure ahead of weekend nuclear deadline: Iranian
officials ratcheted up pressure Wednesday ahead of a weekend nuclear
deadline for European nations to come up with a solution for Iran to sell
its oil abroad in the aftermath of escalated U.S. sanctions. President
Hassan Rouhani reiterated a threat that Tehran would take additional
steps away from the 2015 nuclear accord on Friday and accelerate its
nuclear activities if Europe fails to provide a solution, calling it Iran’s
third, ‘most important step’ away from the deal.‘Iran’s third step is of
an extraordinarily significant nature,’ Rouhani said, without detailing
what that would entail, but saying a ‘decree will be announced today or
tomorrow.’
Iran remains issue one in the world today.

An illustration of the problem with gun regulations.
It was reported yesterday that the Texas shooter from this weekend was banned from buying guns. Gunman Seth Aaron Ator was barred under federal law because he was mentally unfit, according to law-enforcement officials. 
Yet he was able to do so. That is a problem, and we favor personal to personal gun sales also go through the approval process that buying a gun at dealer does. Doesn’t that just make sense? Yet it doesn’t happen today.



A Few Quick Thoughts…

Just a few thoughts this Monday morning:

The news over the weekend was dominated by three major stories: the Hurricane in the Atlantic, the mass shooting in Odessa and the tragic boat accident in California. Isn’t it amazing when the news has something else they don’t find it necessary to tell us how bad President Trump is?

You know he cancelled his trip to Poland to stay back and monitor the storm. Now imagine if he didn’t, they would have been crucifying him as not caring. So you know what they are saying this morning? Here’s a direct quote from two sources: “… and since Saturday morning he has pelted the American public with 122 tweets” on the storm. They are calling him “the weatherman” now. Shameful.

I’m sure, too, you saw the continued stories about the administration moving funds from FEMA to border security. The MSM played this over and over with the question, “Is this going to inhibit your ability to do your job”?
Well first of all, the FEMA budget was upped to $18.4 Billion this year. The transfer was $155 million. Since this is hurricane one for this year, does anyone think this will impact FEMA performance? Of course not, but the manner in which the media presented it was to damage the administration. (Though the timing I will tell you was plain dumb).
And by the way, such transfers are not uncommon. Ready for this? President Obama did the same thing in 2014 with $277 million in FEMA funds. Do you remember hearing anything about that then?

The House Judiciary Committee is intent on impeachment. They are now preparing to hold hearings and call witnesses involved in hush money payments to ex-Playboy model Karen McDougal and adult-film star Stormy Daniels.

Last, another shooting and we wonder still why anyone needs such high power weapons. But that said, short of going to homes and taking them, how are you going to get them out of the hands of criminals? What have we outlawed and stopped? Not drugs, which is part of the problem. Did alcohol prohibition work? I don’t know the answer, but it certainly involves closer control over who gets access, and mental health approaches.
One thing that stands out is coverage. Seven more tragic deaths and we have wall to wall coverage on it and the shooter. Yet in Chicago this year we have had 1,800 shootings. Why the silence?

Keep an eye on that storm today.

Comey and more…

Comey:
To me the I.G. report on James Comey was damning. He can call it vindication, but my take is different. You can’t claim to be the last honest person in Washington and portray yourself a boy scout then found to be leaking and misleading. Sorry Jim, you placed yourself on a pedestal but your actions proved otherwise. You can still believe your self pronouncements but the report tells me otherwise.
You’re right, you did not leak information that was classified later; but you did leak. You were the head of the FBI and you were leaking. That’s not right for the job, or a boy scout. You should have been seeking leakers, not being part of the problem.

Now also it seems clear you met with the President elect not to tell him of the rumor but to investigate. The head of the FBI lied or at the least mislead his boss. That is not worthy of the head of the FBI, and you should have been fired.
You’re clear you say? Well Mr Boy Scout, that just proves you are not who you told us you were.

Biden:
Now Joe Biden and his fight with the Washington Post on the story he has been telling as truth. Joe said last night, “I don’t know what the problem is. What is it that I said wrong?”
Well Mr Vice President, only almost every detail. Let’s see, you were VP, it was the wrong person, the wrong time, the wrong place. Other than that and the fact you took three stories and made them one, you are right, you did nothing wrong.

Think about this. The next Democratic debate is down to ten as we reported yesterday. That means more time for each candidate because the debate will be three hours long. How is Joe going to do in that environment?

The President:
Can he pick anyone? Did you see his personal assistant, (Madeleine Westerhout), whose office sits in front of the Oval Office and who has served as the president’s gatekeeper since Day 1 of his administration, resigned on Thursday? Why? Well the President learned that she had indiscreetly shared details about his family and the Oval Office operations. She was leaking!

Have a great Labor Day Weekend.

Just Thinking Today…

With the Democratic field narrowing and Joe Biden holding his lead this thought struck me. If he and the President run against each other then:
We will be choosing between a candidate (Biden) who every time he opens his mouth we will hold our breadth over what he might say because of the relationship to actual fact; and a President (Trump) who we will hold our breadh because of what and how he might say it.
How’s that for a choice?

The new deabte stage for the Democrats is cut in half. Only ten qualified. The 10 candidates who did, and their current per cents in the polls according to the DNC are:
Biden (37 percent), Sanders (21 percent), Warren (20 percent), Harris (17 percent), Buttigieg (7 percent), Booker (3 percent), Klobuchar (3 percent), Yang (3 percent), Castro (3 percent) and O’Rourke of Texas (3 percent).

Gillibrand of course dropped out after failing to qualify. We won’t miss her. You know who else didn’t qualify? Tom Steyer. Steyer spent more than $325,000 a day on campaign advertising but failed to break through.
I don’t think he will quit yet. He is all about impeachment.

Speaking of impeachment, there are now 137 House Democrats who have called for proceedings to investigate whether the president should be removed from office. What will Nancy Pelosi do here?

Speaking of Pelosi, what is she going to do about the president’s trade deal with Canada and Mexico? Does she pass it handing a big political victory to Trump or let it lie until after the election? How can she hold a deal good for America and get away with it?

If she holds it then she lends more credibility to the argument the left is rooting for a recession. They better be careful here.

No real coverage on this but a fallout with Iran yesterday. The administration hit two Iranian-linked business networks with sanctions for illegally helping Iran’s missile and weapons programs.
This continues the financial pressure that has been applied and is hurting them.

Now Iran…

Yesterday we wrote about China and the telephone call that likely didn’t happen and how the optimism of progress was deflated. Then hours later the supposed progress with Iran was popped as they repeated they wanted sanction relief before any talks. Something this President will not (and rightfully so) do.

So where are we and why? Here’s my view.

Think about the last 20, 30 and 40 years if you can and what the issues were in the international market. How long do you remember:
“China is stealing our jobs” and companies “are leaving”?
“Iran is the leading terrorist organization in the world. They are behind much of the activities in the world”?
“North Korea wants nuclear weapons and is working on building them”?

Pretty much for as long as you can remember you’ve been hearing that.
Now ask yourself, should those issues be addressed? Should he be going after them as he is? Well in his campaign he talked about them and didn’t come to Washington to continue the charade of the past. He is actually doing what others said they would.

Now you can’t change what has gone on without some pain. The forces you are going to impact are going to fight back. They have gotten used to the good life they had woven and don’t want to give it up.
China was on a path to be the world’s most dominant economic force. They aren’t going to surrender that.
Iran bullied Presidents for 30 years, why would they think this is going to be different?
North Korea fooled Presidents with false words, why not again?

I think the President should be applauded for his efforts, but he isn’t, why is that? Two major reasons:
First he is his own worst enemy. His enormous ego wants everyone to adore him and tell him how smart he is. He cannot take the negative comments. When you hear him speak it is always “no one has done what I have”, or this is “bigger than anything”, it’s “enormous” or “something no one else can do”. He wants that adulation and his ego cannot take it. He is not satisfied that time will prove him right, he must be told every minute he is a genius and the greatest.
The second reason is the press and his opposition hate him. His arguments or positions are never presented in a fair and balanced way. They are always negative. Think about this. If the three issues were presented as a question to the American people, where would they fall?
Don’t you think that a great majority would say we need to address the situation with China?
Don’t you think the majority would realize how dangerous Iran is and understand why we need to isolate them?
With North Korea wouldn’t the majority among us say we must not allow them to get nuclear?

You see, Trump is on the right side of these issues for America, but his ego and a hostile press and opposition party have been able to make him look bad. It’s part his fault, part their’s, but a danger to our nation. The American people must stand strong now to fix the world problems that we have failed to do for 30+ years.

Finally, what is the press and opposition parties solutions for these three issues? Since all the Democrats running have been in Washington for decades, what did they do? Is their answer a return to where we were? I haven’t heard anything else. Do we want that? I don’t, and we need to stand strong now. Teddy Roosevelt said it best, “when the going gets tough, the tough get going”.

Fallout China…

So what’s the truth with China?
At the G7 the President said that China called and wants to talk. Reporters questioned him hard, “did they really call”? Aides said “yes, there was correspondence” . There would be meetings everyone said. I wondered was there really a call in the middle of the night?
This AM China said there was “no call”. There were notes it appears.
So, why did the President say “calls”? It’s just baffling and makes you wonder.

What I think is this.
The President truly got spooked with Friday’s market drop. He knew the 2020 election was around the corner and now he needed a way out. Over the weekend he tweeted that we should judge his market performance based upon the day after the election and not from January 20th when he took office. I think he realized he was out there and was ready to jump on any opening.

China for its part is losing in this confrontation (more on this below) and is looking to deescalate. So they send a note to say we need to sit and talk and instead of running with that it becomes something bigger to the President so he can win bigger.

It doesn’t mean China wants a deal. They do want to measure the election, and if Trump can be beat they want to wait it out. If it looks like Trump will win they know a deal before the election is better than after.

Now who is winning this face off?
America is, but you won’t get that impression or message from the MSM. Why? They look for the negatives to us. You will get “higher prices” and “drive the economy to a recession”. You know what they don’t do? They don’t look at it from China’s side.
In business I always counseled people to put themselves across the table from themselves. How would you view what you are saying and doing. Would you make this deal?
Now China has devalued its currency, lost jobs, slowed their growth and is facing economic woes. They are doing everything they can to eat the tariffs and not drive up prices to lose sales and cause companies to leave.
Imagine if we were China and a free media was reporting on this from that side.

China is in a bind.
They are dependent on exports to the U.S.. They are dependent on U.S. companies relocating manufacturing in their country. They are dependent on mimicking IP and producing goods. They are facing a President who is saying “no more”. This relationship must be balanced. If they agree to balance they lose. If they stand pat they lose. They are the one in the corner, not us.
All the President needs to do is tell the truth.

Reparations…
With all the talk of reparations I think we owe them here too.
99 years ago (1920) women gained the right to vote on August 26. Don’t we owe all woman reparations for the years prior?

Rattling The Markets…

As I write this I am awaiting the President’s recap from the G7 Summit. Under this President he moves the market one way or another with each utterance. Friday he sent it into a tailspin with his anti China tweets. This AM it is up on his we are “going to talk” words. At the press conference there is no guessing what he will say. With Trump, we live in interesting times.

On China I will just say this. For decades we have heard about losing jobs to China and the growth of that country. Presidents and congress failed to take action and this President is. It is about time. We support him.
What I find deplorable are the politicians and media that are reporting every move he makes as bad, and blaming him for the mess. Let’s be clear. Candidates like Biden, Warren, Klobuchar and others have been in Washington for decades and this mess occurred under their watch. The President has been in Washington for two and a half years.
He is not the blame, he is the possible solution.

On Politics:
It appears to us that Elizabeth Warren is gaining traction and her fellow Democratic candidates need to go after her. This from Politico:
“On Sunday, Warren stood on the biggest stage of her presidential campaign for a rally here that drew an estimated 15,000 people — eclipsing an estimated 12,000-person event she held in Minnesota earlier in the week, according to her campaign. Across the country in New Hampshire, Biden presided over a series of intimate, subdued events in New Hampshire and Iowa, hosting crowds that numbered in the low hundreds.”

Enthusiasm matters and she has it now.

Impeachment:
The House committee continues. They are issuing a subpoena to former White House staff secretary Rob Porter, a key witness in former special counsel Robert Mueller’s obstruction of justice investigation into President Donald Trump, as the panel weighs articles of impeachment.
This committee will not quit, while Republicans await the IG report.

News Tidbits….

Just some tidbits that you may not have heard on the news. Let’s start with Politics:

One Democratic presidential candidate dropped out (Gov. Inslee) and will rerun for Governor in Washington State.
One who dropped out earlier, Gov. Hickenlooper of Colorado, is running for the senate against Republican Cory Gardner. He will be favored.
Joe Walsh, a conservative radio show host and former Illinois congressman, is going to challenge President Donald Trump in the Republican primary.
He will join Gov. Bill Weld as challengers. Neither have any shot.

Congress is on August break but this is clear. Democrats and Republicans strongly disagree about how best to rev up the economy. Democrats favor higher spending and Republicans want lower taxes. Sound familiar?

Impeachment? Did you know that more than half of House Democrats (127 total) are now publicly in favor of impeachment proceedings? Not much MSM coverage but the number keeps increasing.
In fact the fourth ranking Democrat in the house came out for the impeachment inquiry (Rep. Ben Ray Lujan N.M.) .
Eyes are now on Georgia Rep. John Lewis to see what he does.

Get ready for this fight. The administration rolled out a plan to detain families crossing the U.S.-Mexico border longer than the 20-day detention limit. If it survives a sure court challenge, the policy change could permit authorities to detain families through the duration of their immigration proceedings. That would cut illegal attempts. Democrats oppose, which is why congress will not vote for it. Let’s see if the attempt to do it without them works.

Did you see any coverage of the President announcing yesterday at an American Veteran conference that college loans for disabled vets will be cleared up? You hear about the Dems saying they will do it for all, so how come no coverage of this?

Where does the President stand?

Yesterday he once again said he favored beefed-up background checks for gun buyers. He offered no clarification of his stance amid recent signs he was backing away from stricter rules. Americans truly want this, why the hesitation? The NRA? Where are they going to go if not President Trump? Back a Democrat?

After saying he was not serious about Greenland we get first a cancelled trip to Denmark, then the President accusing their prime minister of “blowing off the U.S..  He added, “I thought the prime minister’s statement that it was an absurd idea was nasty”. Wow. Great for diplomacy.

Polls:
You keep hearing of the Presidents average favorability (44%) and unfavorably (53%). Well look at the Democratic candidates numbers:
Former Vice President Joe Biden, Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders and Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren have all seen their standing decline.
Joe Biden is views positively by 34%, down 20 points from January 2018, while the people who viewed him negatively increased to 38%.
Bernie Sanders has seen a drop to 37% positive and 40%, negative.
For Elizabeth Warren its 31% see her positively and 32% negatively.

You don’t ever hear those numbers on the MSM do you?

Finally here is a story and the results from the Iowa Fair Kernel Poll:
The voting is finished, and the corn kernels are packed away for the year. The 2019 Cast Your Kernel presidential poll results showed something that has never happened before in the 15 years of the poll at the Iowa State Fair: almost exactly as many fairgoers voted for a Democratic candidate for president as a Republican.

  • Total votes for Republican candidates: 33,280
  • Total votes for Democratic candidates: 33,165

That 50-50 percentage split is the closest ever.

Republicans:

  • Donald Trump: 32,375 (97%)
  • Bill Weld: 905 (3%)

Democrats:

  • Joe Biden: 8,143 (25%)
  • Pete Buttigieg: 5,892 (18%)
  • Elizabeth Warren: 5,064 (15%)
  • Kamala Harris: 3,700 (11%)
  • Bernie Sanders: 2,675 (8%)
  • Cory Booker: 1,219 (4%)
  • Tulsi Gabbard: 1,153 (3%)
  • Tom Steyer: 1,078 (3%)
  • Amy Klobuchar: 905 (3%)
  • Andrew Yang: 745 (2%)
  • Beto O’Rourke: 550 (2%)
  • Steve Bullock: 300 (1%)
  • John Delaney: 277 (1%)
  • Kirsten Gillibrand: 270 (1%)
  • Julián Castro: 264 (1%)
  • Marianne Williamson: 240 (1%)
  • Michael Bennet: 129 (0%)
  • Jay Inslee: 120 (0%)
  • John Hickenlooper: 115 (0%)
  • Tim Ryan: 70 (0%)
  • Joe Sestak: 69 (0%)
  • Wayne Messam: 66 (0%)
  • Bill de Blasio: 61 (0%)
  • Seth Moulton: 60 (0%)

The overall turnout was the third highest for Cast Your Kernel. In 2012, 72,216 people voted when Republican Mitt Romney defeated President Barack Obama, a Democrat, 55-45%. In 2016, 69,598 people voted when Trump topped Democrat Hillary Clinton 56-44%.

Obama is the only Democrat to win the Cast Your Kernel poll. In 2008, he defeated Republican John McCain 51-49% with 48,865 kernels cast.

Just Thinking…

Some thoughts heading to weekend

We disagreed with the decision by Isreal to ban two congressional members from entering the country. We thought all it did was give them ammunition and a reason for people to support them.
Then we heard about the touching note from Congressperson Tlaib that she wanted to visit her 90 year old grandmother one more time.
We were happy Isreal immediately said yes.
Then we realized what a farce the whole thing was as Tlaib said she would not go under the rules Isreal set.
So you only sent the “Grandmother letter” hoping they would say “no” and you could get sympathy and blast them? When they said “yes” you backed off?
Why can’t the MSM see through this?

The NYT had this in today’s paper in reaction to the initial “no”.
“What Are Trump and Netanyahu Afraid Of?”: It is difficult to stomach the notion that an American president would put pressure on Israel to deny entry to two members of the United States Congress. … 
Let’s see if they say anything else tomorrow. I doubt it.

North Korea:
All the noise about N.Korea shooting missiles is so one sided. Do you know why they are doing it? Because the U.S. and S.Korea are conducting military exercises right next door.
Is the media so one sided they can’t give you the full picture?

One down but watch the senate now.
Former Gov. John Hickenlooper of Colorado ended his presidential bid and will likely enter the race for his state’s Republican-held Senate seat. He gives the Democrats a strong candidate in a race where they need three seats to take control.
Keep an eye on Beto. He may be the next to do this.

China:
The U.S.  suddenly postponed a plan to impose new tariffs on about $156 billion in goods from China. They moved the date back to Dec. 15 for tariffs on smartphones, laptops, toys and video games.
Why? “We’re doing this for Christmas season, just in case some of the tariffs would have an impact on U.S. customers,” President Trump said.
Also he knows the economy is slowing and the last thing he needs is a recession in 2020.
He also knows that China is hurting badly in this tariff war, and though the media in the U.S. is talking only domestic, it is much wider.
Now the questions are, can our economy withstand this? Can the President ride it out? Does China cave realizing Trump is going to win and they will get a better deal now? Or, do they think he will lose and a Democrat gives them a better deal?
Keep in mind that Germany’s economy shrank in the second quarter, for the second time in a row, and they are in recession. So the economy worldwide needs watching. Will European leaders provide a major stimulus to drive things? That could help.

Have a great weekend.

The Epstein Mess…

You’re getting all the news you need on Jeffrey Epstein and don’t need me adding to it. Yesterday I wrote here that it likely was a suicide. But I have to admit questions keep arising. Here’s just a few as this whole thing continues to baffle.
The NY Post reported today he hanged himself with bed sheets by tying them to the top bunk. Well he was six feet tall, so how did that work?
They reported he folded his legs at the knees. So we are supposed to believe as he lost consciousness they never hit the ground?
Then his cellmate (required for returned to cells for ex suicide inmates) just happened to be removed that evening — and not replaced?
Add it was a job requirement for two guards to check on him every 30 minutes. Well that night they didn’t do so at the time of this incident for hours.
Then we learn one of the two guards was not a guard at all.
Now add this.
July 23rd was the first time there “was an apparent suicide attempt”. I say apparent because it has never been verified that is what it was. Epstein said he “couldn’t recall” what happened and his cellmate at the time (a former police officer who was a four time killer) said “he saw nothing”.

So there are lots of questions and we again say AG Barr is the best hope for any answers. There will be pressure from some very powerful and influential people to get this off the news and buried. Barr is going to have to stand up to it all. I think he will.

The Deficit:
We’ve talked endlessly here about the growing deficit and the need to address it. Well this AM here’s the report on where we are:
The U.S. fiscal deficit has already exceeded the full-year figure for last year, as spending growth outpaces revenue.
The gap grew to $866.8 billion in the first 10 months of the fiscal year, up 27% from the same period a year earlier, the Treasury Department said in its monthly budget report on Monday. That’s wider than last fiscal year’s shortfall of $779 billion — which was the largest federal deficit since 2012.

For people who do so much for our children and grandchildren do we not understand what we are passing on to them?

The Iowa Kernels:
One great tradition of the Iowa Fair is individuals 18 and over are asked to place a corn kernel in a bucket of the candidate of their choice. More than 20,000 have been cast already. Here’s the results:
Joe Biden 24 percent, Pete Butigieg 16 percent, Elizabeth Warren 15 percent, Kamala Harris 11 percent and Bernie Sanders at 9 percent.
By the way there are an additional 14 candidates registering higher than NY Mayor DeBlasio who had 23 kernels and has spent considerable time in the state.

Afghanistan:
This is another example of the President getting out ahead of a story. A few weeks ago he talked about getting out of Afghanistan and a peace agreement. He desperately wants to end this war, but reaching a bad deal, as President Obama did in Iraq would lead to an even worse situation. Well here in Afghanistan he apparently was willing to deal with the Taliban. This is the same Taliban that allowed Osama Bin Laden to exist and build his terrorist army.
Yesterday though, the talks with the Taliban ended without an agreement. The negotiations, held since last year in Qatar, sought a deal in which the US would withdraw its troops from Afghanistan in exchange for the Taliban guaranteeing they wouldn’t allow the country to once again become a base for Islamic militants.
A member of the Taliban negotiating said: “We prolonged our meeting with the hope of reaching a peace agreement but it could not happen.”

The President sometimes speaks long before he should on things.

Speaking of the President, for a guy who surrounds himself “with only the best people”, you can add Anthony Scaramucci, “The Mooch” as another miss. There’s a pretty long list of people on that list.

Epstein Was…

The news this weekend was about the Epstein suicide. Nothing we can add to that today. We think it likely was a suicide, but that doesn’t answer all the questions.
We wonder why he was isolated. Why he was taken out of suicide watch.
Why he had no cellmate since suicide immates have them to provide conversation relief. Why the guards weren’t doing what they were supposed to do.
Why there wasn’t extra vigilance since the papers were released that day naming some names.
Lots of questions on that score, and we know lots of powerful people with lots of money and lots of connections want this to go away today.
The sole person we trust here is AG Barr. We think he is one of the few uncorruptable people in government and this morning we heard he wants three hour updates, which means he wants to get to the truth. Let’s hope.

outside Epstein

Presidential tweets this weekend:
1. “Never has the press been more inaccurate, unfair or corrupt! We are not fighting the Democrats, they are easy, we are fighting the seriously dishonest and unhinged Lamestream Media. They have gone totally CRAZY. MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN!”

2. “In a letter to me sent by Kim Jong Un, he stated, very nicely, that he would like to meet and start negotiations as soon as the joint U.S./South Korea joint exercises are over. It was a long letter, much of it complaining about the ridiculous and expensive exercises. It was………also a small apology for testing the short range missiles, and that this testing would stop when the exercises end. I look forward to seeing Kim Jong Un in the not too distant future! A nuclear free North Korea will lead to one of the most successful countries in the world!”

Joe Biden continues to misspeak. This time he said:
“Joe Biden said he was vice president when the deadly high school shooting in Parkland, Florida, took place. Except, it happened in 2018, more than a year after he left office — the latest gaffe by the Democratic presidential front-runner. An official with the Biden campaign said the former vice president was thinking of the mass shooting at Sandy Hook Elementary School in Newtown, Connecticut, when he misspoke. That attack, in which 20 children between six and seven years old were killed along with six staff members, was in December 2012.”
Don’t you think you would remember Sandy Hook and that tragic situation?

A positive comment (from our side) that Joe said this weekend:
“The 1994 assault weapons and high-capacity magazines bans worked. And if I am elected president, we’re going to pass them again — and this time, we’ll make them even stronger. We’re going to stop gun manufacturers from circumventing the law by making minor modifications to their products — modifications that leave them just as deadly. And this time, we’re going to pair it with a buyback program to get as many assault weapons off our streets as possible as quickly as possible.”

Interesting comment from acting DHS Secretary Kevin McCaleenan on Meet The Press. When asked about the Mississppi raids:
I want to go back to the Mississippi raid one more time on this. Given the emotions of the country right now, in hindsight, do you wish this raid didn’t happen this week?” MCALEENAN: “The timing was unfortunate.”
Yes it was.

NYT asks today if after the El Paso shooting will Americans look upon Beto O’Rourke differently?
All we saw was a foul mouthed political animal looking to move himself forward more than anything else.

Finally, remember the videos of water dousing in NY Cops? The Republicans in the NY Assembly brought up a bill to make that a felony. The Assembly Democrats led by Speaker Carl Heastie threw cold water on it and buried it. That’s the current divide in the nation.

You Might Have Missed…

A few stories this AM you may have missed
(or maybe the MSM just didn’t cover).

So Joe Biden unscripted is really dangerous. From yesterday he said:
— “Poor kids are just as bright, just as talented, as white kids”. Then realizing what he said he added: “Wealthy kids, black kids, Asian kids, no I really mean it, but think how we think about it.”
If a Republican did this would you have seen it on the media? Maybe a lead story?

— Then he mixed things up by saying “we choose truth over facts”. Wait, what? Did you see coverage?

— Then for the second time recently he confused Theresa May with Margaret Thatcher. Again he stopped and pivoted and began talking of Angela Markel.
Imagine if this were President Trump.

The MSM did not think any of these were news worthy as far as I saw.

Now yesterday the Democratic candidates continued their portrayal of the President as a White Supremacist. Elizabeth Warren and Beto O’Rourke were highly visible in the media with their comments and charges. Plenty of coverage. All I could think of listening to them was this.
Calling someone biased and a racist is as bad as you can charge someone. To call the leader of the country this, is so divisive and negative. Then I thought:
The President is probably as much a white supremacist as Elizabeth Warren is Indian and Beto (Robert Francis) O’Rourke is Hispanic.

Remember when the President threatened tariffs on Mexico if they didn’t help with border control? Remember how negative the press was on him about that? Well with the new numbers are out and illegal crossings are down 24%. Any of them apologizing for being wrong? Are they even covering it as they should?

Did you see what the President said about Europe, in particular Macron and the Iran situation? He accused France’s leader with “sending mixed signals to them” (Iran) and said “the U.S. will speak for itself”. He later tweeted:
“I know Emmanuel means well, as do all others, but nobody speaks for the United States but the United States itself”.

I still say this is their issue (Europe and Japan) and they should either stand with us, fight on their own or get out of the way.

The candidates qualifying for the next Democratic debate is up to nine.
Andrew Yang earned 2 percent support in a new poll, adding him to the list. He joins, Joe Biden, Cory Booker, Pete Buttigieg, Kamala Harris, Amy Klobuchar, Beto O’Rourke, Bernie Sanders, and Elizabeth Warren.
Julian Castro, and Congresswoman Tulsi Gabbard are getting close.

Have a great weekend.